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2025 Super Bowl Predictions with Futures Odds

by Ryan Cobbett - 10/14/2024

Super Bowl predictions Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens

After six entertaining and story-filled weeks, now is a good time to look at which teams have the best odds to win the Super Bowl this season. The Kansas City Chiefs top the list (+500), as they are the only undefeated AFC team remaining. In the NFC, the Minnesota Vikings are the only undefeated squad remaining, but they have the third best odds to be the NFC representative. Teams like the 49ers, Rams, and Lions have faced some devastating injuries, while teams like the Browns and Jaguars are severely underperforming. Don’t look now, but the Washington Commanders sit atop the NFC East, while every team in the NFC North has a winning record. However, there can only be one Super Bowl winner. So, without further ado let’s see what the numbers say.

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Kansas City Chiefs +500

It’s no surprise, with public opinion, to see the Chiefs atop this list as the odds-on favorite to win the Super Bowl… again. However, if you take a bit of a deeper look, you will see that the Chiefs have not been the same dominant team. Yes, they are undefeated, and you can’t discount that. At 5-0, the Chiefs are just one of two undefeated teams remaining in the NFL, the other being the Minnesota Vikings. Four of their five games have been one possession games, and their +33-point differential ranks just eighth in the league.

On offense, they rank 11th in YPG and 15th in PPG. Not great numbers when you have played just one Top 10 defense (LAC). The other four defenses rank 15th (ATL), 23rd (NO), 24th (BAL), and 26th (CIN) in scoring defense.  On defense, the Chiefs are much more impressive as they rank ninth in YPG allowed and sixth in PPG against some solid offenses.

The WR room is weak, and the Chiefs are definitely in the market for another receiver after losing Rashee Rice to injury. The schedule is going to get a bit tougher for Kansas City as well, as they have upcoming trips to San Francisco, Buffalo, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh, while they also host Houston and the Chargers. The Chiefs get the benefit of playing in a weak division, but this is not a Super Bowl team. And if they keep letting the opposition hang around, the ball will surely start to bounce the other way.

San Francisco 49ers +650

What may be a surprise is the San Francisco 49ers having the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl. The 49ers have limped (literally) through the first six weeks of the season, posting a 3-3 record. The most notable absence is Christian McCaffery, who has yet to record a rushing attempt this season. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have also missed a game, while the defense has been missing some of their stars like Talanoa Hufanga and Javon Hargrave, who have missed multiple games. Despite sitting at .500, they find themselves atop the NFC West division as they hold the tiebreaker over the Seattle Seahawks.

Despite missing McCaffery, the 49ers offense ranks second in the NFL in YPG, as they average 420 per game, while they rank ninth in PPG with 27. They are 3-0 in games where they score 30 or more points. They rank just outside the Top 10 in defense in YPG and PPG allowed, which is a bit concerning as they have played some really bad offenses this season like the Patriots, who rank 31st in scoring, the Jets (25th), the Rams (23rd), and Arizona (17th).

The defense will have to shore up, as the rest of their schedule showcases some teams that can score. They go on the road to face Tampa Bay, who is second in the NFL in scoring, averaging just under 30 PPG. While they also have stops in Green Bay and Buffalo, with each team ranking inside the Top 8 in scoring. If that wasn’t enough, they have to host the Lions, who are the current league leaders in scoring. Once they get healthy, San Francisco should return to form. They will win the NFC West with ease and will be in line with the Lions as the top seed in the NFC. The 49ers core has been to the big dance twice before, and now they are ready to bring the Lombardi home with them.

Baltimore Ravens +750

You want to talk about offense, the next two teams on the list are full of it. The Baltimore Ravens lead the NFL in YPG, as they average over 450 YPG, and their 29.5 PPG ranks fourth in the league. After a rough two week start to the season, the Ravens have found their stride offensively and have won four straight games. Lamar Jackson is back to doing his thing, as the veteran QB ranks seventh in the NFL in passing yards and is first among QBs and eighth in the league in rushing yards. Derrick Henry is proving to be a great fit in the backfield with Jackson, as he leads the league in rushing yards with 704 as well as with his eight rushing touchdowns.

As mentioned, this offense is one of the best units in the NFL. As for the defense, they have the best rushing defense in the league. The Ravens are allowing just 59 rushing YPG this season, and the most rushing yards they have allowed in a single game is just 81 yards. Their passing defense is a completely different story. Baltimore ranks 31st in passing defense as they allow 275.7 YPG in the air.

Lucky for their secondary, their remaining schedule features the Browns (twice), Broncos, Steelers (twice), Chargers, and the Giants, who all rank in the lower half of the league in passing yards. The Ravens have an offense capable of shootout games, and it does help that they rank fourth in the NFL in time of possession. Baltimore’s remaining schedule is not tough, and they should once again finish at or near the top of the AFC. With playmakers littered on offense, and forcing the opposition to be one dimensional in their offense, the Ravens could very well find their way to the Super Bowl.

Detroit Lions +950

The Lions have now won three straight and are coming off a big statement win over the Dallas Cowboys. Detroit went into Dallas off the Bye Week and completely dominated the Cowboys, winning 47-9. This is their second game in a row scoring over 40 points. With their performance on the field, it is odd to see the Lions behind the 49ers as the favorites to be the NFC representatives, especially with back-to-back dominating performances.

After posting two 40+ point games in a row, it is no surprise that the Lions are the league leaders in PPG as they are the only team in the NFL to average more than 30 PPG. They also rank third in the NFL in YPG. Detroit has also done a good job keeping the ball secure, as they have turned the ball over only four times this season and have a +6-turnover margin. The Lions defense ranks eighth in the league in PPG allowed, but their defense took a big hit with Aidan Hutchinson’s broken tibia which could be a big issue in the future with a significantly worse pass rush. Hutchinson leads the Lions in sacks and TFLs.

Detroit is kicking off what will be a crazy divisional schedule, as every team in the NFC North is 4-2 or better heading into Week 7, with a road trip to face the undefeated Minnesota Vikings with road trips to Green Bay and Houston soon after. They have a tough schedule down the home stretch. However, no matter what seed the Lions are in the playoffs, no one will want to face them.

My Pick: Baltimore Ravens +750

The Ravens secondary is not good, but with the way their defense completely shuts down the run, and, conversely, the way they control the time of possession, the Ravens are a matchup nightmare. Jackson/Henry have already shown they can be quiet the dynamic duo out of the backfield, and Zay Flowers has finally given Jackson a reliable receiver. If the Ravens boost the secondary at all before the deadline, it would be silly to pick against them. This year is the year they get past Kansas City and win the Super Bowl.

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