NFL Power Rankings Week 12
by Robert Ferringo - 11/23/2021
I want to start this week’s Power Rankings with some house cleaning. This week all the handicappers at Doc’s Sports will be releasing their football picks on Wednesday to accommodate the Thanksgiving holiday. Like normal, that one release will include all college and NFL selections for the entire weekend.
NFL Power Rankings Week 11
by Robert Ferringo - 11/16/2021
Every NFL season is unique. The same can be said for the NFL betting season. Every year there is a betting trend that usually presents itself as kind of a through line or subplot to the pro football betting season. Sometimes home underdogs crush it. Some years it is NFC teams over AFC teams. Things like that crop up from time to time, the public gets ahold of it, and then everyone starts banging the books with the same picks each week.
NFL Power Rankings Week 10
by Robert Ferringo - 11/9/2021
One of the biggest themes of last week was the confirmation and verification of a gambling truism: always bet on teams that lose a star player. We see this all the time across all sports. When a team loses a star player to trade, injury, suspension, or some other malady, you always want to bet on those teams in their next game. It is counterintuitive. But it is effective.
NFL Power Rankings Week 9
by Robert Ferringo - 11/2/2021
I have long said that betting on NFL teams coming off a bye week is one of the most overused and overrated handicapping angles. The assumption is that with an extra week of time and preparation, teams coming off a bye week will be extra ready to play and therefore have a big advantage over their opponents.
NFL Power Rankings Week 8
by Robert Ferringo - 10/27/2021
There is no stopping progress. As I’ve gotten older, I expected to get more cynical. Instead, I think I’ve become more optimistic. That’s been due in part to seeing that history bends toward what is right and what should be. There are always fits and starts. But eventually things find their level and inch closer to What Should Be.
NFL Power Rankings Week 7
by Robert Ferringo - 10/19/2021
One of the biggest misconceptions of betting the NFL is that the spread is extremely important. It isn’t. I know that statement flies in the face of what you’ve read and heard your entire life: that “line value” is critical. In some sports it is. The NFL is not one of those sports.
NFL Power Rankings Week 6
by Robert Ferringo - 10/12/2021
I have a handicapping tip for you: Over the next four months, you should ignore NFL teams’ win-loss records. I know it’s hard. The records are usually right there next to the team’s name when odds are listed. But, mentally, you need to try to pay as little attention as you can to a team’s record.
NFL Power Rankings Week 5
by Robert Ferringo - 10/5/2021
Compared to the average NFL head coach, my football knowledge is probably about 10 percent of what they know. Seriously. When it comes to schemes and nomenclature and all of the minutia of an actual NFL game plan, I would be completely lost. Any average NFL fan knows probably half as much as I do, and they would be lost too, so this isn’t some big revelation.
NFL Power Rankings Week 4
by Robert Ferringo - 9/28/2021
The general held consensus in the NFL right now is that rookie quarterbacks should start. Teams should invest heavily in selecting quarterbacks with high-ranking first round picks. And then those quarterbacks should be thrown into the fire as soon as humanly possible. You hear this nonsense espoused regularly by media bobbleheads and average fans, and there is no doubt that “draft ‘em and start ‘em” is the prevailing theory in the league.
NFL Power Rankings Week 3
by Robert Ferringo - 9/21/2021
I’m going to keep this week’s intro short and sweet. I’m on a working vacation (they are all working vacations; I literally work 365 days a year) down in Florida. And as soon as I wrap this up, I’m headed about 100 yards down to the beach. The sea is balm for my soul and my need for getting blackout drunk in the sand at 10 a.m. on a weekday is a part of my nature that, for this seven days, I no longer have to repress.
NFL Power Rankings Week 2
by Robert Ferringo - 9/14/2021
One down. Seventeen to go. Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books. For me, it was one of the best opening weekends I’ve ever had, going 13-3 on Sunday with an array of big plays, totals and teasers all coming through with relative ease. In fact, if you include Saturday’s college football success, I had one of the best football weekends, +4,300 on Saturday and Sunday combined, in the 50-year history of this company.
NFL Power Rankings Week 1
by Robert Ferringo - 9/7/2021
Normal. New Normal. Old Normal. Everywhere you turn, someone is trying to explain what “normal” is supposed to be. Normal at work. Normal at home. Normal in public. It’s all about getting back to “normal”. I’m tired of hearing about normal. So, I suppose it’s a good thing that the NFL season is back upon us. Because nothing about professional football betting is normal. Blown leads and bad beats. Backdoor covers and stacks of dollar bills.
NFL Power Rankings Week 17
by Robert Ferringo - 12/29/2020
Greed is good. Since the coronavirus explosion in March, I have had an unshakeable reliance on the overall greed and sociopathology of NFL owners to see to it that there would be a full and completed NFL season. I don’t mean that as a pejorative, simply as a statement of fact. And, well, here we are. This week marks the completion of the NFL regular season. The playoffs are the icing on the cake. The fact that we’ve had four uninterrupted months of football is a silver lining in an otherwise horrific year. And the driving force behind that reality has been the overwhelming greed of those at the top of the professional football food chain. So good job.
NFL Power Rankings Week 16
by Robert Ferringo - 12/24/2020
There have been 41 games this season in which a team lost a game despite holding at least a 14-point lead. I want you to think about that for a second. We’ve played 15 weeks. And we’ve had 14 comebacks of two touchdowns or more. That is an average of three wild, can’t-believe-they-did-that comebacks every…single…week.
NFL Power Rankings Week 15
by Robert Ferringo - 12/15/2020
It’s time to tank. I know that players and coaches in the NFL all say the right things about tanking. They talk about how people are fighting for jobs and for money so it is impossible to tank. They talk about how physically it doesn’t make sense for teams to sit back and get rolled over. They talk about pride and professionalism.
NFL Power Rankings Week 14
by Robert Ferringo - 12/9/2020
There is an inherent paranoia that comes with being a professional gambler. It’s hard not to let it overtake you, actually. There is a feeling of impending doom that comes with every wager. And since I’ve lost bets just about every way imaginable – you wouldn’t believe me if I told you – every week I can’t help but wonder, especially when things are going well, when things are going to fall apart.
NFL Power Rankings Week 13
by Robert Ferringo - 12/1/2020
This whole 2020 NFL season has been a mess. Fans and bettors have been able to gloss over the inconsistency and the scheduling issues and the weekly coronavirus personnel updates. We’ve been able to grin and bear it because that’s what 2020 is all about. And because we have no other choice. Some football, even if it is being played with a practice squad wide receiver lining up at quarterback or if it is played on Wednesday afternoon, is better than none.
NFL Power Rankings Week 12
by Robert Ferringo - 11/24/2020
It’s Thanksgiving week, which is easily one of my favorite times of the year. It won’t seem like quite the same respite this year, given that lockdowns and quarantines and a complete social and business slowdown this year leaves me less in need of this holiday week’s slow pace. Though it is always a good time to take stock of all the benefits, accomplishments and good fortune that one has in their life; A little self-reflection never hurt anyone.
NFL Power Rankings Week 11
by Robert Ferringo - 11/17/2020
Frankly, I’m in a pretty foul mood. I’ve had two of the worst weeks of my career as an NFL handicapper the last two weekends. I was on the wrong end of both the Arizona and the Cleveland bad beats last week and have gone 1-5 against the spread with my last six top plays in the pros. Losing streaks aren’t rare for anyone that gambles as a profession. The pendulum swings both ways. And after 14 years of making my career based on the bounce of a funny shaped ball, I know that it comes with the territory.
NFL Power Rankings Week 10
by Robert Ferringo - 11/10/2020
The single most overrated angle in NFL betting is to assume that teams coming off a bye week are going to be more prepared for their upcoming game. Last week was another perfect example of the phenomenon, which routinely buries bettors. Arizona, Washington, Jacksonville and Houston were coming in after weeks off. Houston played Jacksonville, so that was a wash against the spread. Arizona and Washington? Both lost outright as post-bye week favorites.
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