5 March Madness Betting Trends

Top College Hoops Handicappers	March Madness Betting Trends – College Basketball	March Madness Betting Trends
Robert Ferringo	No. 5 vs. No. 12 Seeds	CLICK For Details
Doc’s Sports	No. 1 And No. 2 Seeds – Opening Rd.	CLICK For Details
Jason Sharpe	Sweet 16 And Elite Eight Trends	CLICK For Details
Raphael Esparza	Eventual National Champions ATS	CLICK For Details
Strike Point Sports	Underdogs And Favorites 7.0 Or More	CLICK For Details

 

 

The NCAA Tournament is the largest annual sporting event in North America. The sheer number of teams and volume of games creates dozens of betting opportunities for gamblers each year. And because of that over the past three decades several noteworthy NCAA Tournament betting trends have emerged.

There are innumerable of ways in which gamblers and statisticians can utilize the data from the hundreds of tournament games that have been played over the years. And there are thousands of successful and not-so-successful betting trends that have emerged along the way. Here are five interesting NCAA Tournament betting trends:

Robert Ferringo - No. 5 Seed vs. No. 12 Seed Betting Trends: This seeding matchup has produced more upsets than any other in the first round over the last 30 years. In fact, only three times since 1988 has a No. 12 failed to upset a No. 5 in the first round. Even though the books have started lowering spreads in these matchups the public is still cleaning up here. No. 12 seeds have gone 25-15 ATS over the past 10 tournaments, including an 15-9 ATS mark the last six tourneys. Be wary: over the last 19 years the No. 12 seeds have gone just 59-54 ATS. However, an angle to look at in this arena is to play on No. 12 seeds that played in the previous season's tournament. Those teams have gone 24-18 SU and 32-10 ATS over the last 34 years.

Doc’s Sports - Betting No. 1 And No. 2 Seeds In Opening Rounds: There is always a lot of attention paid to the No. 1 seeds and the No. 2 seeds heading into the NCAA Tournament. These are the teams with the best odds of winning the national championship and they are the programs that garner the most futures betting action. However, there is a significant difference between how these two seed lines perform in their opening round games. No. 1 seeds are 111-1 SU and a strong 64-48 ATS over the last 28 years. That is a solid 57 percent ATS success rate. However, No. 2 seeds, while going 103-9 SU are just 48-64 ATS during that same span. That means by blindly betting $500 on No. 1 and No. 15 seeds over the past 28 years would have a bettor up over $12,000 in profit.

Jason Sharpe - Sweet 16 And Elite Eight Trends: All of the focus in the NCAA Tournament is on betting in the first round. However, there are several lucrative betting angles to pursue in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight as well. For example, Sweet 16 teams that have allowed fewer than 60 points in their previous game have gone an outstanding 41-17 ATS in the last 58 trials. These exceptional defensive teams make strong underdogs and are able to boost their defense with a week to prepare for their opponent. Further, underdogs of 3.5 or more are a solid 64-45 ATS in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight. If you can find one of those underdogs that fits our defensive filter and you have yourself a moneymaker.

Raphael Esparza - Eventual National Champions: It is obviously impossible to know which team is going to win the national championship before the tournament starts. However, a team's first round performance can be a good indicator. The eventual national champion has gone 14-6 ATS in their opening round game the past 20 tournaments. Considering that the last seven national champions, Kansas, Baylor, Virginia, North Carolina, Villanova (twice), Duke, and Connecticut, have combined to go 39-9 ATS throughout the tournament it is safe to say that covering the spread in the first game of the tournament is a good sign that a team is for real.

Strike Point Sports - Underdog And Favorites Of 7.0 Or More: There are two strong betting systems that revolve around a spread of 7.0 or more. The first deals with handling underdogs that are off a massive upset. The second is in regards to teams off an offensive eruption. Underdogs of at least 7.0 points that are off a straight-up win as an underdog of at least 6.0 points have gone a woeful 10-26 ATS over their last 36 attempts. These big dogs generally face a steep letdown after springing a significant upset. It is important to note that this trend includes teams' performances in their conference championship games. Further, favorites of 7.0 or more that scored at least 100 points in their previous game are 22-9 ATS and are on a 17-4 ATS run in that role.

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