Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 9/25/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Wednesday, September 25, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Target Center is the site where and the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (19-21) on Wednesday in Game 2 of their series.

The Phoenix Mercury ended up losing by a score of 102-95 in Game 1. Phoenix walked away from the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (37 out of 74) and made 14 out of their 27 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Mercury knocked down 7 of 11 attempts for a percentage of 63.6%. Concerning pulling down boards, they earned 31 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 19 assists in this contest in addition to creating 10 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In reference to defense, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 49.3% from the floor on 34 of 69 shooting. Minnesota doled out 6 dimes and had 8 steals for the game. Additionally, Minnesota grabbed 31 boards (6 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Minnesota finished the game at 96.0% at the charity stripe by converting 24 of their 25 attempts. They also converted 10 of 24 shots from 3-point land.

Natasha Cloud is one player who came through in this contest. She finished with 33 points on 14 of 23 shooting. She saw the court for 38 mins and grabbed 6 boards. Cloud walked away from this one shooting 60.9% from the field and also earned 10 assists.

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Phoenix enters this game with a mark of 19-21 this year. They are turning it over 13.3 times per game and as a unit they commit 16.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is pulling down 32.3 boards per contest and is sitting with 794 assists for the campaign, which is 9th in the WNBA in terms of passing. The Mercury are hitting 32.6% from downtown (341 of 1,046) and 79.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 81.5 points per contest (7th in the WNBA) on 43.9% from the field. Defensively, the Mercury are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 17.0 fouls. They rank 11th in basketball in giving up assists with 879 conceded on the year. The Mercury are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.1% (478 of 679) and they concede 37.0 boards per contest as a group. They are giving up 34.2% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 9th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (84.8).

In Game 1, the Lynx collected 25 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 for this game. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. The Mercury committed 21 fouls in this contest which took the Lynx to the charity stripe for 25 tries. They were able to make 24 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 96.0%. In relation to shots from beyond the arc, Minnesota knocked down 10 of 24 tries (41.7%). When the final whistle was blown, the Lynx ended up shooting 34 for 69 from the field which gave them a rate of 49.3%. The Lynx permitted the Mercury to make 37 of 74 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0% in this game. They wrapped up this game 51.9% from beyond the arc by shooting 14 of 27 and ended up shooting 7 out of 11 at the free throw line (63.6%). When discussing attacking the glass, Minnesota allowed Phoenix to grab 31 in all (7 on the offensive side).

Napheesa Collier ended up being a major contributor for the Lynx in the matchup. She buried 11 out of 19 in the game for a field goal rate of 57.9%, and tallied 6 rebounds. Collier recorded 38 points in her 40 mins on the court and added 4 dimes in the matchup.

Minnesota has a mark of 30-10 on the year. As an offense, the Lynx are connecting on 44.8% from the floor, which ranks 4th in basketball. Minnesota has accumulated 3,279 pts this season (82.0 per game) and they collect 34.3 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 23.0 times per contest (1st in the WNBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.4 times per contest. The Lynx are committing 16.4 personal fouls per game and they go 79.0% from the free throw line. The Lynx are ranked 2nd in the league in points per game surrendered with 75.6. They have surrendered 18.6 dimes and 35.3 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 1st and 8th in basketball. The Minnesota defense allows 30.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (273 of 907) and opponents are connecting on 78.8% of their free throw attempts. They are able to force 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.0% from the field (1st in the WNBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Minnesota

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