New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 10/18/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Friday, October 18, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Target Center is the venue where and the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) will play the New York Liberty (32-8) on Friday in Game 4 of the WNBA Finals. New York leads the series 2-1. They open as 3.5 favorites and the total is set at 159.5.

The New York Liberty notched a win by a score of 80-77 in Game 3 on a last second 3-pointer by Sabrina Ionescu. New York wrapped up the game having earned a 45.9% field goal percentage (28 out of 61) and buried 10 of 25 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Liberty made 14 of their 14 tries for a percentage of 100.0%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected 33 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 18 assists in this matchup while creating 10 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Regarding defending, New York allowed the other team to shoot 38.7% from the field on 29 out of 75 shooting. Minnesota recorded 7 assists and had 12 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Minnesota snagged 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 1 block. Minnesota finished the contest at 83.3% from the free throw line by making 10 of 12 attempts. They made 9 of 21 tries from downtown.

Breanna Stewart is someone who was a major contributor in the game. She totaled 30 points on 9 of 20 shooting. She was on the court for 36 mins and totaled 11 rebounds. Stewart walked away from this one shooting 45.0% from the floor and also totaled 1 assist.

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New York enters this game with a win-loss mark of 32-8 for the season. The Liberty are connecting on 34.9% on 3-pointers (405 of 1,160) and 81.4% from the charity stripe. They average 85.6 points per outing (2nd in the league) while hitting 44.8% from the field. They are turning it over 12.7 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 15.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, New York is snagging 36.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 911 assists so far this season, which is 2nd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end of the court, the Liberty are able to force 12.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.9 personal fouls. The Liberty defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 42.5% (506 of 674) and they surrender 32.7 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 3rd in the league in giving up assists with 777 surrendered this year. They give up 32.4% on shots from distance and they are 3rd in basketball in opponents points per game (76.5).

In Game 3, the Lynx earned 25 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 32 for this contest. They turned it over 10 times, while getting 12 steals for the contest. The Liberty earned 13 personal fouls in this contest which took the Lynx to the free throw line for 12 shots. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throws for a percentage of 83.3%. Regarding 3-point shots, Minnesota converted 9 out of their 21 tries (42.9%). When the game finished, the Lynx shot 29 out of 75 from the field which gave them a percentage of 38.7%. The Lynx allowed the Liberty to knock down 28 out of their 61 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.9% for this game. They wrapped up this game 40.0% from 3-point land by going 10 of 25 and ended up going 14 out of 14 at the charity stripe (100.0%). In relation to rebounds, Minnesota allowed New York to pull down 33 in total (6 on the offensive side).

Napheesa Collier ended up being a factor for the Lynx for this game. She converted 9 of 22 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 40.9%, and tallied 9 rebounds. Collier earned 22 points in her 40 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 2 dimes in this game.

Minnesota has a record of 30-10 this season. The Lynx are responsible for committing 16.4 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 79.0% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 23.0 times per game (1st in the WNBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.4 times per game. Minnesota has 3,279 pts on the campaign (82.0 per game) and they pull down 34.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Lynx are shooting 44.8% from the field, which is ranked 4th in the WNBA. The Lynx on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 75.6. They have forced 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.0% from the floor (1st in the league). The Minnesota defense allows 30.1% on shots from 3-point land (273 of 907) and their opponents are making 78.8% of their free throw shots. They allow 18.6 assists and 35.3 boards per game, which has them ranked 1st and 8th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+3.5)

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