New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 10/16/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Wednesday, October 16, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Target Center is the venue where and the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) will take on the New York Liberty (32-8) on Wednesday in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. The series is tied 1-1. New York opens as 3.5 favorites and the total is set at 160.5.

The New York Liberty took home the win by a score of 80-66 in Game 2. New York ended with a 47.5% field goal percentage (29 out of 61) and made 11 of their 24 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Liberty buried 11 of their 14 attempts for a rate of 78.6%. When it comes to getting rebounds, they collected 34 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 17 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 20 turnovers and getting 13 steals. In the matter of defending, New York let their opponent shoot 45.0% from the field on 27 of 60 shooting. Minnesota recorded 5 dimes and had 8 steals for this game. In addition, Minnesota grabbed 27 rebounds (5 offensive, 22 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Minnesota went 85.7% at the free throw line by making 6 of their 7 attempts. They also made 6 of 20 shots from beyond the arc.

Breanna Stewart is a player who was a factor for this game. She notched 21 points on 7 of 18 shooting. She played 38 minutes played and collected 8 rebounds. Stewart finished shooting 38.9% from the field and dished out 5 dimes.

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New York comes into this game with a record of 32-8 so far this year. They are averaging 85.6 points per contest (2nd in the league) while hitting 44.8% from the floor. The Liberty are connecting on 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc (405 of 1,160) and 81.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, New York is grabbing 36.6 boards per contest and has totaled 911 dimes so far this season, which ranks 2nd in the league in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 12.7 times per game and as a team they are committing 15.4 fouls per contest. When they are on the defensive end, the Liberty are forcing 12.7 turnovers per game and they draw 16.9 personal fouls. The Liberty defensively are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 42.5% (506 of 674) and they surrender 32.7 boards per contest as a group. They currently rank 3rd in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 777 surrendered for the season. They relinquish 32.4% on 3-point shots while they are 3rd in basketball in points per game allowed (76.5).

In Game 2, the Lynx were able to pull down 22 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 27 for the game. They coughed up the ball 20 times, while getting 8 steals in this matchup. The Liberty were called for 15 personal fouls in this game which took the Lynx to the charity stripe for a total of 7 attempts. They were able to bury 6 of them for a rate of 85.7%. In regard to 3-point attempts, Minnesota made 6 of 20 tries (30.0%). Overall, the Lynx finished shooting 27 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.0%. The Lynx allowed the Liberty to make 29 of their 61 attempts from the field which had them shooting 47.5% in this game. They finished 45.8% from three-point range by shooting 11 of 24 and finished the game at 11 of 14 at the free throw line (78.6%). Concerning attacking the glass, Minnesota permitted New York to grab 34 in all (10 on the offensive glass).

Napheesa Collier ended up having an impact for the Lynx in this matchup. She converted 7 of 12 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 58.3%, and earned 8 rebounds. Collier accumulated 16 points in her 35 mins on the court and earned 3 assists in this contest.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 30-10 on the campaign. The Lynx have committed 16.4 fouls per game while shooting 79.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 23.0 times per game (1st in the league) and they cough up possession 13.4 times per contest. Minnesota has scored 3,279 points so far this year (82.0 per game) and they average 34.3 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lynx are hitting on 44.8% from the field, which has them ranked 4th in basketball. The Lynx on defense are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 75.6. They are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.0% from the field (1st in the league). The Minnesota defense allows 30.1% on 3-pointers (273 of 907) and opponents are converting on 78.8% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 18.6 dimes and 35.3 total boards per game, ranking them 1st and 8th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-3.5)

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