New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 10/6/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN2

The New York Liberty (32-8) go to Michelob Ultra Arena on Sunday where they'll take on the Las Vegas Aces (27-13) in Game 4 of the WNBA Semifinals. New York leads the series 2-1. Vegas opens as 3.5 favorites while the total is set at 166.5.

The New York Liberty took home the win by a score of 88-84 in Game 3. New York finished the game having earned a 49.3% field goal percentage (33 of 67) and knocked down 9 of their 29 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Liberty converted 13 of their 16 attempts for a percentage of 81.3%. In the matter of grabbing boards, they compiled 35 with 8 of them being offensive. They also doled out 19 assists for this game as well as forcing 12 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In relation to defense, New York let their opponent shoot 43.5% from the floor on 30 of 69 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 9 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. In addition, Las Vegas collected 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive) and added 2 blocks. Las Vegas finished the game shooting 63.2% when shooting free throws by knocking down 12 of 19 shots. They also converted 12 of 27 shots from three-point range.

Sabrina Ionescu is one player who was a major factor in this game. She ended up finishing with 24 points on 9 of 18 shooting. She played 37 mins and grabbed 9 rebounds. Ionescu finished the game shooting 50.0% from the field and also earned 5 assists.

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New York comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 32-8 on the season. They have an average of 85.6 points per outing (2nd in the WNBA) while hitting 44.8% from the field. The Liberty are connecting on 34.9% on 3-point shots (405 of 1,160) and 81.4% from the free throw line. As a team, New York is pulling down 36.6 rebounds per game and is sitting with 911 assists this year, which is 2nd in the WNBA in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per game and as a unit are committing 15.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. On defense, the Liberty are forcing 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.9 fouls. They are ranked 3rd in the league in allowing assists with 777 surrendered this year. The Liberty defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.5% (506 of 674) and they concede 32.7 boards per game as a team. They are conceding 32.4% from 3-point land while they are 3rd in basketball in PPG allowed (76.5).

In Game 3, the Aces earned 20 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 29 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 3 steals in the matchup. The Liberty were called for 19 fouls for the contest which got the Aces to the free throw line for 19 attempts. They were able to make 12 of them for a percentage of 63.2%. When talking about three-point attempts, Las Vegas made 12 out of 27 attempts (44.4%). When this game wrapped up, the Aces finished shooting 30 for 69 from the field which had them shooting 43.5%. The Aces permitted the Liberty to knock down 33 out of 67 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 49.3% for the contest. They went 31.0% from 3-point land by going 9 of 29 and finished the contest at 13 of 16 at the free throw line (81.3%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Las Vegas permitted New York to grab 35 in total (8 on the offensive side).

A'ja Wilson was important for the Aces in this game. She converted 11 of 18 for this game for a rate of 61.1%, and added 7 rebounds. Wilson recorded 24 points in her 37 mins on the court and accumulated 4 dimes in this game.

Las Vegas has a record of 27-13 on the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Aces are hitting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks 2nd in basketball. Las Vegas has accounted for 3,455 pts on the campaign (86.4 per game) and they grab 34.1 boards per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 20.5 times per game (5th in the league) and they turn it over 10.8 times per contest. The Aces have committed 16.5 fouls per contest and they go 82.8% from the charity stripe. The Aces on the defensive end are ranked 6th in basketball in points given up per game with 80.9. They have conceded 19.9 dimes and 35.5 rebounds per contest, ranking them 5th and 10th in the league. The Las Vegas defense allows 35.1% on shots from 3-point land (308 of 878) and their opponents are knocking down 76.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are able to force 12.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (7th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+3.5)

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