Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction, 10/20/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty

Date: Sunday, October 20, 2024

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ESPN

The Minnesota Lynx (30-10) are headed to Barclays Center on Sunday where they'll take on the New York Liberty (32-8) in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals. New York opens as 5.5 point favorites while the total is set at 157.5.

The Minnesota Lynx notched a win by a score of 82-80 in Game 4 to stay alive in the series. Minnesota ended the game having earned a 44.6% FG percentage (29 out of 65) and converted 9 of their 23 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Lynx converted 15 of 20 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. Regarding hauling in boards, they earned 31 with 5 of them being offensive. They also recorded 20 assists in this game while forcing 15 turnovers and getting 10 steals. When it comes to defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 43.7% from the field on 31 of 71 shooting. New York totaled 9 assists and had 7 steals for the matchup. On top of that, New York totaled 40 boards (9 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 3 rejections. New York finished the contest at 100.0% at the free throw line by making 9 of their 9 shots. They also made 9 of 23 attempts from 3-point land.

Kayla McBride is someone who came through in the game. She ended up finishing with 19 points on 6 out of 15 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 35 minutes played and pulled down 2 boards. McBride finished shooting 40.0% from the field and distributed 4 assists.

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Minnesota enters this matchup with a mark of 30-10 on the year. The Lynx are hitting 38.0% on three-point attempts (380 of 1,000) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 82.0 points per contest (6th in the WNBA) while shooting 44.8% from the field. They turn it over 13.4 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Minnesota is snagging 34.3 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 921 assists this year, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing. On the defensive end, the Lynx are able to force 14.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.7 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 1st in basketball in allowing assists with 742 surrendered on the season. The Lynx are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 41.0% (596 of 626) and they concede 35.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 30.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 2nd in the league in opponents points per game (75.6).

In Game 4, the Liberty were able to collect 31 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in this game. They turned it over 15 times, while getting 7 steals for the game. The Lynx were called for 9 fouls for the matchup which took the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 9 attempts. They were able to make 9 of the free throws for a clip of 100.0%. In relation to shots from downtown, New York buried 9 of 23 attempts (39.1%). When all was said and done, the Liberty finished the game shooting 31 out of 71 from the floor which had them at 43.7%. The Liberty permitted the Lynx to convert 29 of their 65 tries from the floor which had them at 44.6% in this game. They shot 39.1% from distance by shooting 9 of 23 and ended up shooting 15 out of 20 from the charity stripe (75.0%). With respect to rebounds, New York permitted Minnesota to pull down 31 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Jonquel Jones was important for the Liberty for the contest. She knocked down 7 of 10 in this game for a field goal percentage of 70.0%, and added 8 rebounds. Jones racked up 21 points in her 36 minutes on the court and earned 2 dimes in the matchup.

New York has a record of 32-8 on the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Liberty are connecting on 44.8% from the floor, which ranks them 3rd in the league. New York has totaled 3,424 points this year (85.6 per contest) and they pull down 36.6 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 22.8 times per game (2nd in the WNBA) and they turn it over 12.7 times per game. The Liberty commit 15.4 personal fouls per game and they go 81.4% from the free throw line. The Liberty are ranked 3rd in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 76.5. The New York defense gives up 32.4% from downtown (279 of 860) and their opponents are connecting on 76.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 19.4 assists and 32.7 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 3rd and 2nd in basketball. They have forced 12.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor (2nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+5.5)

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