Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction, 10/10/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty

Date: Thursday, October 10, 2024

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ESPN

Barclays Center is the site where and the New York Liberty (32-8) will take on the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) on Thursday in Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. New York opens as 6.5 favorites and the total is set at 159.5.

The Minnesota Lynx took the court against the Connecticut Sun and walked away with a win by a score of 88-77 to close out their series in 5 games. Minnesota wrapped up the contest with a 49.3% field goal percentage (34 of 69) and knocked down 10 out of their 26 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Lynx knocked down 10 of 15 tries for a rate of 66.7%. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they earned 29 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 23 dimes for this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When talking about defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 38.5% from the floor on 25 of 65 shooting. Connecticut distributed 13 assists and had 6 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Connecticut snagged 35 rebounds (13 offensive, 22 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Connecticut ended up shooting 86.4% at the free throw line by burying 19 of their 22 shots. They also made 8 of their 23 attempts from 3-point range.

Napheesa Collier is one player who was a major factor for the matchup. She accumulated 27 points on 10 of 16 shooting. She played for 37 minutes and totaled 11 boards. Collier ended up shooting 62.5% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes.

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Minnesota comes into this matchup with a record of 30-10 so far this year. They currently have an average of 82.0 points per contest (6th in the league) while hitting 44.8% from the field. The Lynx are hitting 38.0% on three-point attempts (380 of 1,000) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 34.3 boards per contest and has earned 921 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 1st in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.4 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.4 fouls per game. When they are on the defensive end, the Lynx are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 15.7 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 30.1% on 3-point shots while they are 2nd in basketball in points per game from their opponents (75.6). The Lynx defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.0% (596 of 626) and they surrender 35.3 boards per game as a team. They are 1st in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 742 surrendered on the year.

The last time they took the court, the New York Liberty walked away with a victory by a final of 76-62 against the Las Vegas Aces to close out their series. The Liberty were able to collect 35 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 48 for this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 5 steals in the game. The Aces were called for 15 fouls for the contest which took the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 11 tries. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throw tries for a rate of 90.9%. With respect to three-point attempts, New York made 10 of 24 attempts (41.7%). When the final whistle was blown, the Liberty went 28 for 71 from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.4%. The Liberty allowed the Aces to make 21 of their 64 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 32.8% for this game. They shot 23.3% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 13 of 18 at the free throw line (72.2%). In relation to team rebounding, New York permitted Las Vegas to pull down 27 overall (4 on the offensive glass).

Sabrina Ionescu ended up being a factor for the Liberty for the game. She converted 7 of 14 for the matchup for a rate of 50.0%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. Ionescu earned 22 points in her 36 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes for the game.

New York has a record of 32-8 so far this season. New York has scored 3,424 points on the season (85.6 per contest) and they collect 36.6 rebounds per game. The Liberty commit 15.4 fouls per contest while shooting 81.4% from the free throw line. As an offensive unit, the Liberty are connecting on 44.8% from the floor, which ranks 3rd in basketball. They are getting an assist 22.8 times per game (2nd in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 12.7 times per game. The Liberty on the defensive side of the court are 3rd in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 76.5. They are able to force 12.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor (2nd in the WNBA). The New York defense allows 32.4% on shots from beyond the arc (279 of 860) and opponents are making 76.9% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 19.4 assists and 32.7 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 3rd and 2nd in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-6.5)

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