Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 10/6/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ESPN2

The Minnesota Lynx (30-10) travel to Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday where they'll take on the Connecticut Sun (28-12) in Game 4 of the WNBA Semifinals. The Lynx lead the series 2-1. The Sun open as 1.5 favorites and the total opens at 153.5.

The Minnesota Lynx earned the victory by a final of 77-70 in Game 3. Minnesota finished the game having earned a 45.2% FG percentage (28 out of 62) and converted 8 out of their 19 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Lynx converted 13 of their 14 tries for a percentage of 92.9%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned 35 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 17 assists in this game as well as creating 12 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing the defense, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 36.4% from the field on 24 of 66 shooting. Connecticut doled out 11 dimes and had 10 steals for this game. Additionally, Connecticut collected 32 boards (11 offensive, 21 defensive) and earned 2 rejections. Connecticut finished shooting 85.0% from the free throw line by making 17 of 20 shots. They converted 5 of their 20 shots from long range.

Courtney Williams is a player who was a factor in the game. She ended up finishing with 17 points on 6 out of 13 shooting. She was on the court for 28 minutes and snagged 5 rebounds. Williams ended up shooting 46.2% from the floor and also earned 4 assists.

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Minnesota steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 30-10 on the campaign. They average 82.0 pts per game (6th in basketball) while connecting on 44.8% from the floor. The Lynx are shooting 38.0% on shots from distance (380 of 1,000) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Minnesota is snagging 34.3 rebounds per game and has accumulated 921 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 1st in the league in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 13.4 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Lynx are able to force 14.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.7 fouls. They rank 1st in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 742 relinquished this season. The Lynx defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.0% (596 of 626) and they concede 35.3 rebounds per game as a squad. They are relinquishing 30.1% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (75.6).

In Game 3, the Sun were able to snag 21 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for this contest. They also coughed it up 12 times, while recording 10 steals for the contest. The Lynx committed 17 fouls for this contest which took the Sun to the charity stripe for a total of 20 attempts. They were able to make 17 of the free throws for a rate of 85.0%. In relation to 3-point shots, Connecticut made 5 of 20 tries (25.0%). When all was said and done, the Sun went 24 out of 66 from the floor which gave them a rate of 36.4%. The Sun allowed the Lynx to make 28 out of their 62 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 45.2% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 42.1% from beyond the perimeter by going 8 out of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 13 out of 14 at the free throw line (92.9%). In regard to rebounding, Connecticut permitted Minnesota to grab 35 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Alyssa Thomas ended up having an impact for the Sun in the game. She converted 7 out of 14 for this contest giving her a rate of 50.0%, and totaled 10 rebounds. Thomas earned 18 points in her 40 minutes on the court and had 7 assists in the matchup.

Connecticut has a win-loss record of 28-12 for the year. Connecticut has accounted for 3,204 pts for the year (80.1 per contest) and they average 33.5 boards per contest. The Sun are committing 16.1 fouls per game and they connect on 75.3% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Sun are shooting 44.4% from the field, which is ranked 6th in the WNBA. Their rate of earning assists is at 19.9 times per game (8th in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 12.1 times per contest. The Sun on defense are ranked 1st in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 73.6. They have surrendered 19.1 assists and 31.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 2nd and 1st in the league. The Connecticut defense concedes 31.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (258 of 825) and opponents are knocking down 77.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.1% from the field (5th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Connecticut (-1.5)

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