Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 10/4/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Friday, October 4, 2024

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ESPN2

Mohegan Sun Arena is the venue where and the Connecticut Sun (28-12) will take on the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) on Friday in Game 3 of their series. The series  is tied 1-1. Connecticut opens as 2.5 point favorites. The total is set at 151.5.

The Minnesota Lynx went home with a win by a final score of 77-70 in Game 2. Minnesota ended having earned a 45.2% field goal percentage (28 of 62) and converted 8 out of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Lynx buried 13 of 14 shots for a rate of 92.9%. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they collected 35 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 17 assists for this game in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In regard to the defense, Minnesota allowed their opponent to shoot 36.4% from the field on 24 out of 66 shooting. Connecticut doled out 11 assists and had 10 steals for this contest. Furthermore, Connecticut snagged 32 rebounds (11 offensive, 21 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Connecticut finished the game at 85.0% from the free throw line by burying 17 of 20 shots. They also knocked down 5 of their 20 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Courtney Williams is someone who played a role for the contest. She ended up finishing with 17 points on 6 out of 13 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 28 mins and grabbed 5 rebounds. Williams ended up shooting 46.2% from the floor and also dished out 4 assists.

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Minnesota comes into this contest with a record of 30-10 on the season. They average 82.0 points per game (6th in the WNBA) while connecting on 44.8% from the floor. The Lynx are shooting 38.0% on three-point attempts (380 of 1,000) and 79.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 34.3 boards per game and has 921 assists so far this year, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 16.4 fouls per game. When they are on the defensive end, the Lynx are forcing 14.9 turnovers per game and they draw 15.7 fouls. They are giving up 30.1% on 3-point attempts and they rank 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (75.6). The Lynx defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 41.0% (596 of 626) and they surrender 35.3 boards per contest as a squad. They rank 1st in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 742 relinquished on the campaign.

In Game 2, the Sun collected 21 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 32 in this matchup. They turned it over 12 times, while getting 10 steals in the game. The Lynx were called for 17 personal fouls for this contest which got the Sun to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They were able to bury 17 of those for a percentage of 85.0%. With respect to shots from downtown, Connecticut made 5 out of their 20 attempts (25.0%). Overall, the Sun ended up going 24 for 66 from the field which gave them a percentage of 36.4%. The Sun permitted the Lynx to make 28 of 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.2% in the game. They finished 42.1% from downtown by shooting 8 of 19 and ended up going 13 out of 14 from the free throw line (92.9%). When talking about cleaning the glass, Connecticut permitted Minnesota to collect 35 in all (11 on the offensive side).

Alyssa Thomas pitched in for the Sun for this contest. She buried 7 of 14 in this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and added 10 rebounds. Thomas earned 18 points in her 40 minutes on the court and earned 7 assists for the contest.

Connecticut has a mark of 28-12 for the campaign. The Sun are committing 16.1 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.3% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 19.9 times per contest (8th in basketball) and they turn it over 12.1 times per game. Connecticut has totaled 3,204 points for the campaign (80.1 per game) and they pull down 33.5 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Sun are connecting on 44.4% from the floor, which ranks 6th in the WNBA. The Sun on defense are ranked 1st in basketball in points per game surrendered with 73.6. They are forcing 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.1% from the floor (5th in the WNBA). The Connecticut defense gives up 31.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (258 of 825) and their opposition makes 77.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 19.1 assists and 31.7 total rebounds per game, which ranks 2nd and 1st in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+2.5)

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