Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 9/29/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

The Connecticut Sun (28-12) travel to Target Center on Sunday where they'll meet the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) in Game 1 of their series.

The Connecticut Sun stepped onto the hardwood against the Indiana Fever and notched a win by a score of 87-81 in their last game. Connecticut ended the game with a 41.7% FG percentage (30 out of 72) and knocked down 5 out of their 19 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Sun knocked down 22 of 23 attempts for a percentage of 95.7%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they compiled 29 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 25 dimes in this game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In the matter of defense, Connecticut allowed their opponent to shoot 43.4% from the floor on 33 out of 76 shooting. Indiana earned 21 assists and had 4 steals for this game. Additionally, Indiana pulled down 43 rebounds (13 offensive, 30 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Indiana went 77.8% from the free throw line by burying 7 of their 9 attempts. They also buried 8 of their 30 shots from beyond the arc.

Alyssa Thomas is one player who was a major factor for the game. She finished with 19 points on 9 of 17 shooting. She played for 40 minutes and grabbed 5 boards. Thomas went 52.9% from the field and distributed 13 dimes.

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Connecticut comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 28-12 for the campaign. They average 80.1 points per contest (8th in the WNBA) while going 44.4% from the floor. The Sun are connecting on 32.7% on shots from distance (235 of 719) and 75.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Connecticut is snagging 33.5 rebounds per game and has tallied 796 dimes for the campaign, which is 8th in the WNBA in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 12.1 times per game and as a team they commit 16.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. Defensively, the Sun are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.1 fouls. The Sun defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 43.1% (1,086 of 2,520) and they concede 31.7 rebounds per game as a group. They are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 764 relinquished so far this season. They relinquish 31.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 1st in the WNBA in PPG from their opponents (73.6).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Minnesota Lynx took home the win by a final score of 101-88 against the Phoenix Mercury. The Lynx earned 20 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 25 in this contest. They also turned it over 7 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Mercury committed 26 fouls for the matchup which took the Lynx to the charity stripe for a total of 27 attempts. They were able to make 23 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 85.2%. Concerning shots from 3-point land, Minnesota made 10 of their 26 tries (38.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Lynx ended up shooting 34 out of 67 from the field which gave them a rate of 50.7%. The Lynx permitted the Mercury to bury 35 out of their 68 tries from the field which had them shooting 51.5% in the game. They finished the game shooting 30.8% from behind the 3-point line by going 8 out of 26 and finished the contest at 10 of 14 from the charity stripe (71.4%). When talking about how they rebounded, Minnesota permitted Phoenix to get 3 overall (7 on the offensive glass).

Napheesa Collier ended up being important for the Lynx in the matchup. She converted 14 out of 20 in this game giving her a rate of 70.0%, and added 5 rebounds. Collier recorded 42 points in her 38 mins on the court and had 4 dimes for the contest.

Minnesota has a mark of 30-10 this year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lynx are shooting 44.8% from the floor, which ranks 4th in the league. Minnesota has totaled 3,279 points on the season (82.0 per game) and they collect 34.3 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 23.0 times per contest (1st in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 13.4 times per game. The Lynx are responsible for committing 16.4 fouls per game and they hit 79.0% from the charity stripe. The Lynx defensively are ranked 2nd in basketball in points per game surrendered with 75.6. They are forcing 14.9 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.0% from the floor (1st in the league). The Minnesota defense surrenders 30.1% on 3-pointers (273 of 907) and opponents are converting on 78.8% of their free throw shots. They concede 18.6 assists and 35.3 rebounds per contest, which is 1st and 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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