Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 10/8/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN2

The Connecticut Sun (28-12) go to Target Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) in Game 5 of the WNBA Semifinals. Minnesota opens as 4.5 favorites. The total is set at 151.5.

The Connecticut Sun faced the Minnesota Lynx and walked away with a win by a score of 92-82 in their last game. Connecticut wrapped up the game having earned a 53.7% field goal percentage (36 out of 67) and converted 8 of their 15 3-pointers. When they shot from the free throw line, the Sun buried 12 of 14 tries for a percentage of 85.7%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 29 with 4 of them being offensive. They also doled out 19 dimes in the game while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In regard to defense, Connecticut allowed the other team to shoot 46.7% from the floor on 28 out of 60 shooting. Minnesota totaled 22 assists and had 5 steals for this game. Furthermore, Minnesota grabbed 27 boards (3 offensive, 24 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Minnesota went 88.9% at the charity stripe by converting 16 of 18 shots. They also made 10 out of their 26 tries from beyond the arc.

Tyasha Harris is a player who was a major contributor in this matchup. She ended up scoring 20 points on 7 out of 11 shooting. She played 30 mins and also pulled down 3 rebounds. Harris finished the game shooting 63.6% from the field but had no assists at the end of the game.

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Connecticut comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 28-12 for the season. They have an average of 80.1 pts per game (8th in the WNBA) while connecting on 44.4% from the field. The Sun are shooting 32.7% on three-point attempts (235 of 719) and 75.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Connecticut is pulling down 33.5 rebounds per game and has tallied 796 dimes on the season, which ranks 8th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 12.1 times per game and as a team they commit 16.1 fouls on a nightly basis. On the defensive end, the Sun are able to force 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.1 fouls. They are surrendering 31.3% from 3-point land while they are 1st in the league in PPG allowed (73.6). The Sun defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.1% (1,086 of 2,520) and they relinquish 31.7 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 2nd in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 764 conceded for the campaign.

In their last game, the Minnesota Lynx took a defeat with a final score of 92-82 when they played the Connecticut Sun. The Lynx recorded 24 defensive boards and 3 offensive boards totaling 27 in this contest. They also gave up possession 13 times, while earning 5 steals for the matchup. The Sun earned 17 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Lynx to the free throw line for a total of 18 tries. They were able to make 16 of them for a percentage of 88.9%. When talking about shots from downtown, Minnesota made 10 of their 26 tries (38.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Lynx ended up shooting 28 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.7%. The Lynx permitted the Sun to make 36 out of their 67 tries from the field which had them shooting 53.7% for this contest. They finished 53.3% from three-point range by connecting on 8 out of 15 and finished the contest at 12 out of 14 at the charity stripe (85.7%). Concerning rebounds, Minnesota allowed Connecticut to snag 29 in all (4 offensive).

Napheesa Collier was important for the Lynx for the matchup. She made 9 of 15 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and totaled 13 rebounds. Collier scored 29 points in her 37 minutes on the court and tallied 3 assists in this contest.

Minnesota has a record of 30-10 on the year. Minnesota has accumulated 3,279 points so far this year (82.0 per contest) and they pull down 34.3 rebounds per game. The Lynx are committing 16.4 fouls per contest and they hit 79.0% from the free throw line. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lynx are hitting on 44.8% from the floor, which is ranked 4th in the league. They are dishing out assists 23.0 times per game (1st in the WNBA) and they turn it over 13.4 times per game. The Lynx are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points given up per game with 75.6. They are forcing 14.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.0% from the field (1st in the WNBA). The Minnesota defense allows 30.1% from downtown (273 of 907) and opponents are making 78.8% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 18.6 assists and 35.3 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 1st and 8th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Connecticut (+4.5)

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