Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 10/1/2024 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Tuesday, October 1, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN2

The Connecticut Sun (28-12) head to Target Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Minnesota Lynx (30-10) in Game 2 of their series. Connecticut leads the series 1-0. Minnesota opens this game as 4.5 point favorites.

The Connecticut Sun earned the victory with a final of 73-70 in Game 1. Connecticut wrapped up the game with a 41.3% field goal percentage (31 out of 75) and converted 9 out of their 22 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Sun converted 2 of their 3 tries for a rate of 66.7%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they compiled 39 with 9 of them being offensive. They also doled out 24 dimes in the game while forcing 11 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In reference to the defense, Connecticut allowed 41.5% from the field on 27 of 65 shooting. Minnesota dished out 16 assists and had 8 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 7 blocks. Minnesota finished shooting 84.6% at the charity stripe by burying 11 of their 13 tries. They also knocked down 5 of their 20 shots from distance.

Marina Mabrey is one player who played a role in the game. She ended up walking away with 20 points on 7 out of 19 shooting. She saw the court for 38 mins played and also pulled down 5 rebounds. Mabrey finished shooting 36.8% from the floor and distributed 3 assists.

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Connecticut enters this contest with a mark of 28-12 for the campaign. They are turning it over 12.1 times per contest and as a team they commit 16.1 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Connecticut is collecting 33.5 boards per game and has 796 assists so far this year, which is 8th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. The Sun are connecting on 32.7% on 3-point shots (235 of 719) and 75.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 80.1 pts per contest (8th in basketball) while connecting on 44.4% from the floor. On defense, the Sun are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.1 personal fouls. They relinquish 31.3% from 3-point land and they rank 1st in the league in points per game allowed (73.6). The Sun are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.1% (1,086 of 2,520) and they concede 31.7 boards per game as a squad. They are 2nd in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 764 relinquished on the campaign.

In Game 1, the Lynx corralled 25 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 32 in this game. They also gave up possession 11 times, while recording 8 steals for this contest. The Sun committed 11 fouls for this contest which got the Lynx to the charity stripe for 13 shots. They were able to make 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 84.6%. Regarding 3-pointers, Minnesota made 5 of 20 attempts (25.0%). Overall, the Lynx finished the game shooting 27 out of 65 from the field which had them shooting 41.5%. The Lynx allowed the Sun to make 31 of 75 attempts from the floor which had them at 41.3% in the matchup. They finished 40.9% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 9 of 22 and finished the game at 2 out of 3 at the free throw line (66.7%). Concerning attacking the glass, Minnesota permitted Connecticut to pull down 39 overall (9 offensive).

Napheesa Collier ended up being a major contributor for the Lynx in this matchup. She made 7 of 16 in this contest for a field goal rate of 43.8%, and had 9 rebounds. Collier earned 19 points in her 37 mins on the court and had 4 dimes in the game.

Minnesota has a mark of 30-10 this season. Minnesota has earned 3,279 points on the campaign (82.0 per game) and they average 34.3 boards per game. The Lynx are committing 16.4 fouls per contest and they connect on 79.0% from the free throw line. As an offensive team, the Lynx are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which is 4th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 23.0 times per game (1st in the WNBA) and they lose possession via turnover 13.4 times per contest. The Lynx on defense are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 75.6. The Minnesota defense surrenders 30.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (273 of 907) and their opponents are converting on 78.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 18.6 dimes and 35.3 total rebounds per game, which ranks 1st and 8th in basketball. They are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.0% from the field (1st in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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