Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 9/3/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Sunday, September 3, 2023

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Minnesota Lynx (17-19) play the Phoenix Mercury (9-26) at Target Center on Sunday.

The Phoenix Mercury stepped onto the hardwood against the Atlanta Dream and went home with a loss by a final score of 94-76 in their last game. Phoenix finished the game with a 55.2% FG percentage (32 of 58) and made 4 out of their 8 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Mercury knocked down 8 of their 11 shots for a percentage of 72.7%. When it comes to grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 23 with 1 of them being offensive. They also doled out 22 assists in the matchup while creating 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With respect to the defense, Phoenix allowed 52.0% from the field on 39 of 75 shooting. Atlanta distributed 10 dimes and had 11 steals in this matchup. Furthermore, Atlanta pulled down 32 rebounds (10 offensive, 22 defensive) and had 4 rejections. Atlanta ended up going 100.0% from the free throw line by converting 9 of 9 tries. They buried 7 of their 19 attempts from beyond the arc.

Sug Sutton is someone who was a factor for the matchup. She totaled 20 points on 6 of 7 shooting. She saw the court for 32 mins and also totaled 2 rebounds. Sutton finished the contest at 85.7% from the field and distributed 5 assists.

Get all of our WNBA Picks

Phoenix steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 9-26 for the campaign. The Mercury are connecting on 31.7% from downtown (235 of 741) and 80.7% from the charity stripe. They average 76.6 points per outing (12th in the league) while shooting 44.7% from the field. They are losing possession via turnover 15.2 times per game and as a unit they commit 19.2 personal fouls per game. As a team, Phoenix is pulling down 30.7 rebounds per game and has earned 675 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 7th in the league in terms of passing. When they are on defense, the Mercury are able to force 12.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.6 personal fouls. They give up 35.7% on shots from distance while they are 7th in the WNBA in opponents PPG (83.8). The Mercury defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 44.1% (429 of 615) and they concede 33.9 rebounds per game as a group. They rank 4th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 683 relinquished this year.

When they last played, the Minnesota Lynx walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-72 when they faced the Washington Mystics. The Lynx were able to collect 25 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 34 in this matchup. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while recording 7 steals in the matchup. The Mystics earned 15 fouls for the matchup which took the Lynx to the free throw line for 7 shots. They were able to make 7 of them for a percentage of 100.0%. When talking about shots from 3-point land, Minnesota converted 9 of 26 tries (34.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Lynx shot 28 out of 67 from the floor which had them shooting 41.8%. The Lynx allowed the Mystics to convert 29 out of 64 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.3% in this matchup. They went 48.0% from beyond the arc by going 12 out of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 13 out of 15 from the free throw line (86.7%). When it comes to rebounds, Minnesota allowed Washington to grab 32 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Diamond Miller ended up being a major contributor for the Lynx for the game. She buried 9 out of 18 for the contest for a rate of 50.0%, and earned 1 rebound. Miller racked up 25 points in her 30 minutes on the hardwood, but wasn't able to notch an assist.

Minnesota has a record of 17-19 this year. Minnesota has tallied 2,870 points on the season (79.7 per game) and they pull in 33.9 boards per game. The Lynx have committed 16.8 fouls per game and they hit 80.8% from the free throw line. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lynx are connecting on 43.4% from the field, which is ranked 8th in the WNBA. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 19.1 times per contest (8th in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 13.4 times per game. The Lynx defensively are ranked 12th in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 85.1. They have forced 12.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.0% from the floor (10th in the league). The Minnesota defense gives up 35.3% on three-point shots (325 of 921) and opponents are making 82.3% of their free throw attempts. They give up 20.8 assists and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 12th and 7th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here