Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 7/11/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Tuesday, July 11, 2023

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Las Vegas Aces (17-2) host the Phoenix Mercury (4-14) at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday.

The Phoenix Mercury faced the Los Angeles Sparks and took home the win by a score of 78-72 in their last contest. Phoenix finished the game with a 47.6% FG percentage (30 out of 63) and made 5 of their 17 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Mercury converted 13 of their 15 attempts for a percentage of 86.7%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled 37 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 22 assists in this matchup as well as creating 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. With respect to defense, Phoenix allowed their opponent to shoot 37.1% from the field on 26 of 70 shooting. Los Angeles distributed 8 dimes and had 9 steals for this contest. Additionally, Los Angeles pulled down 30 rebounds (8 offensive, 22 defensive) and got 2 rejections. Los Angeles ended up shooting 85.7% from the charity stripe by making 12 of 14 shots. They also made 8 of 21 tries from beyond the arc.

Brittney Griner is someone who had an impact for this contest. She was able to score 29 points on 12 of 18 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 30 minutes and snagged 11 rebounds. Griner finished the contest at 66.7% from the floor and dished out 2 assists.

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Phoenix comes into this game with a record of 4-14 so far this season. They turn the ball over 16.3 times per game and as a unit they commit 20.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is pulling in 29.6 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 360 assists this season, which has them ranked 7th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Mercury are shooting 31.1% on shots from beyond the arc (116 of 373) and 79.6% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 77.0 points per contest (12th in the league) while going 45.0% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Mercury are able to force 12.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.5 personal fouls. They concede 34.9% from 3-point land and they rank 9th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (85.2). The Mercury are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.8% (228 of 333) and they concede 34.5 boards per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 6th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 370 surrendered so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Las Vegas Aces got the win with a final of 113-89 when they faced the Minnesota Lynx. The Aces were able to collect 27 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 34 for this game. They gave up possession 11 times, while earning 9 steals in the matchup. The Lynx earned 14 personal fouls for the contest which got the Aces to the charity stripe for 14 attempts. They were able to make 10 of the free throw tries for a rate of 71.4%. Concerning shots from beyond the arc, Las Vegas made 17 out of their 39 tries (43.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Aces ended up shooting 43 for 72 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 59.7%. The Aces allowed the Lynx to knock down 36 out of their 72 attempts from the field which had them shooting 50.0% in this game. They finished 56.3% from distance by shooting 9 of 16 and walked away from this one shooting 8 out of 15 at the charity stripe (53.3%). Concerning how they rebounded, Las Vegas permitted Minnesota to snag 26 in total (5 on the offensive side).

Kelsey Plum pitched in for the Aces in this game. She converted 14 out of 18 for the matchup giving her a rate of 77.8%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. Plum tallied 40 points in her 31 minutes of playing time and had 4 assists in this contest.

Las Vegas has a win-loss mark of 17-2 on the campaign. As an offense, the Aces are shooting 50.3% from the floor, which is ranked 1st in the WNBA. Las Vegas has totaled 1,779 points this season (93.6 per contest) and they collect 34.8 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 22.4 times per game (2nd in the WNBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.8 times per game. The Aces commit 15.7 fouls per game while shooting 82.1% from the free throw line. The Aces defensively are ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed per game with 78.9. They relinquish 19.0 dimes and 33.0 rebounds per contest, which is 2nd and 2nd in the league. The Las Vegas defense concedes 33.9% from downtown (131 of 386) and opponents are knocking down 75.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are able to force 12.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.2% from the field (3rd in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas

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