New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 9/29/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-4)

The Connecticut Sun host the New York Liberty at Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. Connecticut opens this matchup as 4 point underdogs. The O/U is set at 159.5.

The New York Liberty went home with a win by a final score of 84-77 in Game 2. New York finished the contest having earned a 44.6% FG percentage (29 of 65) and converted 10 of their 26 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Liberty converted 16 of their 16 shots for a rate of 100.0%. When it comes to grabbing boards, they collected 37 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 19 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing 9 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When talking about the defense, New York allowed the other team to shoot 39.7% from the field on 27 of 68 shooting. Connecticut distributed 6 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Connecticut totaled 31 rebounds (6 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Connecticut ended up shooting 77.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 14 of their 18 attempts. They also converted 9 of their 23 attempts from downtown.

Sabrina Ionescu is one player who had an impact for the matchup. She totaled 21 points on 5 out of 12 shooting. She played 38 mins and also snagged 2 rebounds. Ionescu finished 41.7% from the floor and also dished out 5 assists.

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New York comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 32-8 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 13.5 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.0 personal fouls per contest. As a team, New York is snagging 37.9 boards per game and has earned 965 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Liberty are hitting 37.4% on shots from distance (444 of 1,187) and 82.9% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 89.2 pts per game (2nd in basketball) while hitting 46.0% from the field. When they are on defense, the Liberty are forcing 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.2 fouls. The Liberty defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.4% (473 of 687) and they surrender 33.0 boards per game as a unit. They are ranked 2nd in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 758 surrendered on the year. They are conceding 34.1% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG allowed (80.6).

In Game 2, the Sun snagged 25 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 31 for the game. They turned the ball over 9 times, while getting 7 steals in the game. The Liberty earned 15 fouls in the matchup which got the Sun to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to convert 14 of the free throw tries for a rate of 77.8%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, Connecticut buried 9 of their 23 tries (39.1%). Overall, the Sun finished 27 for 68 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.7%. The Sun allowed the Liberty to make 29 out of their 65 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 44.6% for the matchup. They wrapped up this game 38.5% from distance by shooting 10 out of 26 and ended up shooting 16 out of 16 at the free throw line (100.0%). When talking about cleaning up the glass, Connecticut allowed New York to pull down 37 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Tiffany Hayes pitched in for the Sun for this contest. She made 12 out of 19 for this game giving her a rate of 63.2%, and accumulated 3 rebounds. Hayes accumulated 30 points in her 36 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 2 dimes for the game.

Connecticut has a record of 27-13 on the campaign. The Sun have committed 18.4 fouls per game and they go 76.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 20.7 times per game (3rd in the WNBA) and they turn it over 12.4 times per game. Connecticut has accumulated 3,307 pts so far this year (82.7 per game) and they pull in 33.6 boards per game. As an offense, the Sun are shooting 44.5% from the field, which has them ranked 3rd in the league. The Sun are ranked 1st in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 79.0. They are able to force 14.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (4th in the league). The Connecticut defense surrenders 32.1% on three-point shots (268 of 836) and opponents are connecting on 78.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 19.0 dimes and 33.9 boards per game, which has them ranked 3rd and 4th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-4)

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