New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 10/1/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-5.5)

The Connecticut Sun host the New York Liberty at Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. The Liberty lead 2-1. New York opens this contest as 5.5 point favorites. The total is set at 160.

The New York Liberty walked away with a win by a score of 92-81 in Game 3. New York ended the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (38 of 76) and made 9 out of their 26 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Liberty buried 7 of 7 attempts for a percentage of 100.0%. With respect to grabbing boards, they earned 35 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 20 assists for the matchup while creating 10 turnovers and having 4 steals. When discussing defense, New York allowed 47.1% from the field on 33 out of 70 shooting. Connecticut doled out 8 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Connecticut grabbed 30 boards (8 offensive, 22 defensive) and earned 5 blocked shots. Connecticut went 90.9% when shooting free throws by knocking down 10 of their 11 tries. They also converted 5 of their 16 attempts from beyond the arc.

Breanna Stewart is a player who came through in this contest. She ended up finishing with 25 points on 11 out of 19 shooting. She was on the court for 37 mins played and also totaled 11 rebounds. Stewart finished shooting 57.9% from the floor and earned 2 dimes.

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New York heads into this matchup with a mark of 32-8 for the season. They turn the ball over 13.5 times per game and as a unit are committing 16.0 fouls per game. As a unit, New York is collecting 37.9 rebounds per game and has racked up 965 dimes this year, which ranks 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Liberty are hitting 37.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (444 of 1,187) and 82.9% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 89.2 points per outing (2nd in the WNBA) while going 46.0% from the field. When they are on defense, the Liberty have forced 11.8 turnovers per game and they draw 17.2 personal fouls. They are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 758 surrendered on the season. The Liberty defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 42.4% (473 of 687) and they relinquish 33.0 boards per game as a team. They concede 34.1% on shots from downtown and they are 4th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (80.6).

In Game 3, the Sun collected 22 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 30 for the game. They gave up possession 10 times, while getting 5 steals for this contest. The Liberty had 13 fouls for this contest which took the Sun to the free throw line for a total of 11 shots. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 90.9%. In reference to 3-pointers, Connecticut knocked down 5 out of their 16 tries (31.3%). Overall, the Sun ended up shooting 33 out of 70 from the field which had them at 47.1%. The Sun allowed the Liberty to make 38 of 76 attempts from the field which left them shooting 50.0% for the matchup. They went 34.6% from distance by connecting on 9 out of 26 and ended up shooting 7 out of 7 at the free throw line (100.0%). Concerning team rebounding, Connecticut allowed New York to pull down 35 in total (11 offensive).

Alyssa Thomas was important for the Sun in the matchup. She buried 11 of 17 for the game for a field goal rate of 64.7%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Thomas earned 23 points in her 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 14 assists in the matchup.

Connecticut has a mark of 27-13 on the year. Connecticut has 3,307 pts for the year (82.7 per game) and they collect 33.6 boards per contest. The Sun are committing 18.4 fouls per game and they connect on 76.6% from the free throw line. As an offensive unit, the Sun are connecting on 44.5% from the floor, which ranks them 3rd in basketball. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 20.7 times per contest (3rd in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 12.4 times per contest. The Sun on defense are ranked 1st in the league in points given up per game with 79.0. The Connecticut defense gives up 32.1% on 3-point attempts (268 of 836) and their opponents are connecting on 78.8% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 19.0 assists and 33.9 boards per contest, which is 3rd and 4th in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 14.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-5.5)

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