Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, 10/18/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

Date: Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (+3)

The Las Vegas Aces head to Barclays Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Liberty in Game 4 of the WNBA Finals. Vegas leads the series 2-1. New York opens this matchup as 3 point favorites. The O/U opens at 169.5.

The Las Vegas Aces took a loss by a final of 87-73 in Game 3. Las Vegas wrapped up the contest having earned a 33.3% field goal percentage (23 of 69) and converted 7 of 22 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Aces buried 20 of their 23 shots for a rate of 87.0%. With respect to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 34 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 13 dimes for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When discussing defending, Las Vegas allowed 52.4% from the field on 33 out of 63 shooting. New York earned 4 dimes and had 4 steals for this contest. On top of that, New York collected 35 boards (4 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 8 blocks. New York finished the game at 50.0% at the charity stripe by converting 8 of 16 attempts. They converted 13 out of their 30 shots from beyond the arc.

Kelsey Plum is one player who came through in this contest. She finished with 29 points on 10 of 22 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 40 mins played and collected 2 rebounds. Plum finished the game at 45.5% from the floor and recorded 2 dimes.

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Las Vegas steps onto the hardwood with a record of 34-6 on the campaign. The Aces are connecting on 37.2% on 3-pointers (371 of 996) and 84.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 92.8 points per game (1st in the league) while hitting 48.6% from the field. They lose possession via turnover 11.1 times per game and as a unit they commit 16.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Las Vegas is grabbing 34.8 boards per game and has racked up 868 dimes on the campaign, which is 2nd in basketball in terms of passing. When they are on defense, the Aces are able to force 13.1 turnovers per game and they draw 17.4 personal fouls. They are giving up 34.3% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (80.3). The Aces are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 42.6% (525 of 695) and they relinquish 34.3 boards per game as a unit. They rank 4th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 780 relinquished this season.

In Game 3, the Liberty were able to snag 31 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 35 for this contest. They also turned it over 11 times, while recording 4 steals in the game. The Aces were called for 14 personal fouls in this game which got the Liberty to the charity stripe for 16 attempts. They were able to make 8 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 50.0%. In reference to shots from 3-point land, New York made 13 of their 30 tries (43.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Liberty finished 33 for 63 from the floor which had them at 52.4%. The Liberty allowed the Aces to bury 23 of their 69 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 33.3% for this contest. They finished 31.8% from three-point range by going 7 out of 22 and finished the contest at 20 out of 23 from the free throw line (87.0%). Concerning how they rebounded, New York allowed Las Vegas to snag 34 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Jonquel Jones pitched in for the Liberty in the matchup. She converted 10 of 15 for the matchup giving her a rate of 66.7%, and had 8 rebounds. Jones recorded 27 points in her 34 minutes of playing time and accumulated 3 dimes in this game.

New York has a win-loss mark of 32-8 this season. As an offensive team, the Liberty are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which is ranked 2nd in basketball. New York has scored 3,569 points for the season (89.2 per game) and they snag 37.9 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 24.1 times per game (1st in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.5 times per contest. The Liberty are committing 16.0 fouls per game and they connect on 82.9% from the free throw line. The Liberty on the defensive side of the court are 4th in the league in PPG surrendered with 80.6. They are able to force 11.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the field (1st in basketball). The New York defense surrenders 34.1% on shots from distance (298 of 874) and their opponents are converting on 79.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 19.0 dimes and 33.0 boards per contest, which is 2nd and 3rd in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Las Vegas (+3)

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