Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, 10/15/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (-2.5)

The New York Liberty play the Las Vegas Aces at Barclays Center on Sunday in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. Vegas leads the series 2-0. The line on this matchup has Las Vegas as 2.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 172.5.

The Las Vegas Aces took home the win by a score of 104-76 in Game 2. Las Vegas finished having earned a 52.9% field goal percentage (37 of 70) and knocked down 13 of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Aces converted 17 of their 17 tries for a percentage of 100.0%. When discussing rebounding, they earned 40 with 8 of them being offensive. They also dished out 31 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In relation to defense, Las Vegas allowed 36.1% from the floor on 26 of 72 shooting. New York doled out 13 dimes and had 4 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, New York pulled down 35 rebounds (13 offensive, 22 defensive) and added 4 blocks. New York ended up going 72.7% from the free throw line by making 16 of 22 shots. They buried 8 of their 35 shots from 3-point land.

A'ja Wilson is one player who was a factor in this contest. She was able to score 26 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. She played for 31 minutes and totaled 15 boards. Wilson shot 62.5% from the field and also distributed 3 assists.

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Las Vegas comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 34-6 for the year. They are turning it over 11.1 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 16.0 fouls per game. As a unit, Las Vegas is snagging 34.8 rebounds per game and has racked up 868 dimes for the year, which is 2nd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Aces are shooting 37.2% on shots from 3-point land (371 of 996) and 84.0% from the free throw line. They average 92.8 pts per contest (1st in the league) while shooting 48.6% from the field. When they are on the defensive end, the Aces are forcing 13.1 turnovers per game while drawing 17.4 personal fouls. The Aces are giving up a FG percentage of 42.6% (525 of 695) and they concede 34.3 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 4th in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 780 relinquished on the campaign. They give up 34.3% on shots from downtown while they are 2nd in the league in PPG allowed (80.3).

In Game 2, the Liberty were able to corral 22 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards for a total of 35 in the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while recording 4 steals for the matchup. The Aces were called for 18 fouls in the matchup which got the Liberty to the free throw line for 22 tries. They were able to make 16 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 72.7%. In reference to shots from beyond the perimeter, New York converted 8 of 35 tries (22.9%). Overall, the Liberty went 26 out of 72 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.1%. The Liberty allowed the Aces to make 37 of their 70 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 52.9% for the matchup. They went 44.8% from 3-point land by shooting 13 of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 17 of 17 at the free throw line (100.0%). Concerning cleaning the glass, New York allowed Las Vegas to collect 40 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Jonquel Jones was important for the Liberty in the matchup. She made 8 out of 12 in the game for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and added 10 rebounds. Jones accumulated 22 points in her 30 minutes on the hardwood, but left the arena with no assists.

New York has a win-loss record of 32-8 for the season. The Liberty have committed 16.0 fouls per game while shooting 82.9% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 24.1 times per game (1st in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per contest. New York has 3,569 points on the campaign (89.2 per contest) and they pull in 37.9 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Liberty are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which is ranked 2nd in the league. The Liberty defensively are ranked 4th in the league in PPG surrendered with 80.6. They are forcing their opponents into 11.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the floor (1st in the WNBA). The New York defense allows 34.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (298 of 874) and opponents are knocking down 79.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 19.0 dimes and 33.0 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 2nd and 3rd in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+2.5)

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