Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/26/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+10.5)

The Dallas Wings head to Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces lead the series 1-0. Dallas opens this contest as 10.5 point dogs. The over/under opens at 175.5.

The Dallas Wings took a loss by a final of 97-83 in Game 1. Dallas finished the game having earned a 43.7% FG percentage (31 of 71) and knocked down 9 of their 21 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Wings made 12 of their 18 shots for a rate of 66.7%. In reference to rebounding, they compiled a total of 29 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 21 assists in this contest while creating 16 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When it comes to the defense, Dallas allowed the other team to shoot 53.6% from the field on 37 of 69 shooting. Las Vegas doled out 10 dimes and had 9 steals for the game. On top of that, Las Vegas grabbed 36 rebounds (10 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 7 blocks. Las Vegas ended up shooting 100.0% at the charity stripe by making 13 of their 13 attempts. They buried 10 of their 23 attempts from downtown.

Satou Sabally is a player who played a role for the matchup. She accumulated 16 points on 5 out of 14 shooting. She was on the court for 34 mins and also collected 7 rebounds. Sabally ended up shooting 35.7% from the field and also totaled 7 assists.

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Dallas comes into this matchup with a mark of 22-18 so far this year. The Wings are connecting on 31.7% on shots from beyond the arc (270 of 853) and 80.6% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 87.9 points per outing (3rd in the league) while shooting 44.3% from the floor. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.1 times per game and as a team they commit 18.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Dallas is pulling down 38.7 rebounds per game and has 813 assists for the season, which is 5th in the league in terms of passing the ball. Defensively, the Wings are able to force 13.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They surrender 36.0% on shots from downtown while they are 9th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (84.9). The Wings defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 44.4% (543 of 725) and they concede 32.1 rebounds per game as a squad. They currently rank 8th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 801 surrendered this year.

In Game 1, the Aces were able to pull down 26 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 36 in this contest. They turned it over 16 times, while getting 9 steals in this contest. The Wings committed 13 fouls in this contest which took the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 13 attempts. They were able to knock down 13 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 100.0%. In the matter of three-point attempts, Las Vegas knocked down 10 of 23 tries (43.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Aces ended up shooting 37 out of 69 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.6%. The Aces allowed the Wings to convert 31 out of their 71 tries from the floor 0 43.7% in this game. They finished 42.9% from downtown by connecting on 9 of 21 and ended up shooting 12 of 18 from the free throw line (66.7%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Las Vegas allowed Dallas to snag 29 in all (10 on the offensive side).

A'ja Wilson was important for the Aces for this game. She buried 15 of 21 for this game giving her a rate of 71.4%, and tallied 8 rebounds. Wilson racked up 34 points in her 34 mins on the court and accounted for 1 assist in this game.

Las Vegas has a win-loss mark of 34-6 for the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Aces are connecting on 48.6% from the floor, which is ranked 1st in basketball. Las Vegas has accumulated 3,713 pts on the season (92.8 per contest) and they pull down 34.8 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 21.7 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they are turning it over 11.1 times per contest. The Aces have committed 16.0 fouls per game and they hit 84.0% from the charity stripe. The Aces defensively are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG allowed with 80.3. The Las Vegas defense surrenders 34.3% on 3-point shots (306 of 893) and opponents are connecting on 77.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 19.5 assists and 34.3 total boards per game, which ranks them 4th and 6th in the WNBA. They are able to force 13.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.6% from the field (2nd in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-10.5)

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