Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction, 9/24/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+6)

Barclays Center is the venue where and the New York Liberty (32-8) will take on the Connecticut Sun (27-13) on Sunday. Connecticut opens this game as 6 point dogs. The total has been set at 163.5.

The Connecticut Sun took the court against the Minnesota Lynx and walked away with a win by a score of 90-75 in their last contest. Connecticut finished the game having earned a 55.4% FG percentage (36 of 65) and buried 9 of 20 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Sun made 9 of 14 shots for a rate of 64.3%. In relation to grabbing boards, they earned 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 24 assists in the game as well as forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. In regard to the defense, Connecticut allowed 43.3% from the floor on 26 of 60 shooting. Minnesota recorded 16 dimes and had 6 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Minnesota snagged 27 rebounds (6 offensive, 21 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Minnesota finished the game shooting 78.9% when shooting free throws by converting 15 of their 19 tries. They converted 8 of 22 shots from beyond the arc.

Alyssa Thomas is someone who was a major factor for the matchup. She was able to score 28 points on 13 out of 20 shooting. She saw the court for 40 minutes and totaled 6 boards. Thomas finished 65.0% from the field and also recorded 12 dimes.

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Connecticut enters this matchup with a mark of 27-13 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 18.4 fouls per game. As a unit, Connecticut is snagging 33.6 rebounds per contest and has tallied 826 assists on the campaign, which ranks 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. The Sun are shooting 36.0% on 3-point shots (287 of 798) and 76.6% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.7 points per contest (4th in the league) while connecting on 44.5% from the field. When they are on defense, the Sun are forcing their opponents into 14.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 32.1% on 3-point attempts while they are 1st in the league in opponents PPG (79.0). The Sun are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.5% (1,137 of 2,615) and they concede 33.9 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are ranked 3rd in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 759 relinquished on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the New York Liberty got the win with a final of 90-85 when they played the Washington Mystics. The Liberty collected 30 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 41 in the matchup. They also coughed it up 13 times, while recording 8 steals in this contest. The Mystics earned 25 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Liberty to the charity stripe for a total of 21 shots. They were able to knock down 18 of the free throws for a clip of 85.7%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, New York converted 4 out of 23 tries (17.4%). When the final whistle was blown, the Liberty went 34 out of 81 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.0%. The Liberty allowed the Mystics to make 32 of 80 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.0% for the matchup. They went 30.8% from 3-point land by shooting 8 of 26 and ended up shooting 13 of 16 from the free throw line (81.3%). When talking about team rebounding, New York allowed Washington to collect 38 overall (9 offensive).

Breanna Stewart ended up having an impact for the Liberty in this contest. She buried 9 out of 25 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 36.0%, and had 9 rebounds. Stewart earned 27 points in her 44 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 2 assists for the contest.

New York has a win-loss record of 32-8 for the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Liberty are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which is 2nd in the WNBA. New York has accumulated 3,569 points for the year (89.2 per contest) and they grab 37.9 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 24.1 times per game (1st in basketball) and they turn it over 13.5 times per contest. The Liberty are committing 16.0 fouls per game while shooting 82.9% from the charity stripe. The Liberty on the defensive end are ranked 4th in the WNBA in points given up per game with 80.6. The New York defense concedes 34.1% on shots from distance (298 of 874) and their opposition makes 79.1% of their free throw attempts. They concede 19.0 assists and 33.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 2nd and 3rd in basketball. They are able to force 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the floor (1st in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-6)

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