Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 9/20/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (-5)

Target Center is the venue where and the Minnesota Lynx will play the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. Connecticut opens this matchup as 5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 158.

The Connecticut Sun walked away from Game 2 with a loss by a score of 82-75. Connecticut wrapped up the game having earned a 43.8% FG percentage (28 of 64) and converted 7 of their 20 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Sun made 12 of 14 tries for a rate of 85.7%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled a total of 30 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 18 assists in the matchup while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In regard to defense, Connecticut allowed the other team to shoot 47.8% from the field on 33 of 69 shooting. Minnesota recorded 22 assists and had 7 steals for the game. Additionally, Minnesota grabbed 35 boards (8 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 1 block. Minnesota finished the game at 70.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 7 of their 10 tries. They also converted 9 of 24 shots from distance.

Alyssa Thomas is someone who played a role in this matchup. She walked away with 26 points on 10 of 18 shooting. She played 40 minutes played and also collected 8 rebounds. Thomas ended up shooting 55.6% from the floor and also recorded 6 assists.

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Connecticut enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 27-13 so far this year. They turn the ball over 12.4 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Connecticut is collecting 33.6 boards per game and has racked up 826 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Sun are hitting 36.0% on 3-point shots (287 of 798) and 76.6% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 82.7 points per game (4th in the WNBA) while connecting on 44.5% from the field. On defense, the Sun are able to force 14.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.3 personal fouls. They are ranked 3rd in the league in giving up assists with 759 conceded this year. The Sun defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 43.5% (1,137 of 2,615) and they surrender 33.9 rebounds per contest as a unit. They surrender 32.1% on three-point shots and they are 1st in basketball in points per game allowed (79.0).

In Game 2, the Lynx were able to pull down 27 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 35 in this matchup. They also turned the ball over 7 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. The Sun were called for 10 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Lynx to the free throw line for 10 attempts. They were able to make 7 of the free throws for a percentage of 70.0%. When talking about shots from distance, Minnesota knocked down 9 out of their 24 tries (37.5%). When the game finished, the Lynx went 33 for 69 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.8%. The Lynx permitted the Sun to convert 28 out of 64 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.8% in the game. They finished 35.0% from distance by hitting 7 out of 20 and finished the game at 12 out of 14 at the free throw line (85.7%). When talking about how they rebounded, Minnesota allowed Connecticut to collect 30 overall (6 on the offensive side).

Kayla McBride ended up being important for the Lynx in the matchup. She knocked down 10 out of 18 for this contest for a field goal rate of 55.6%, and had 8 rebounds. McBride had 28 points in her 40 minutes on the hardwood and earned 2 dimes in this contest.

Minnesota has a mark of 19-21 on the campaign. The Lynx are committing 16.9 personal fouls per game and they hit 80.1% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 19.4 times per contest (6th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.4 times per game. Minnesota has accumulated 3,206 points on the season (80.2 per contest) and they pull in 34.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Lynx are hitting on 43.5% from the field, which ranks them 8th in the league. The Lynx on the defensive side of the court are 11th in the WNBA in points given up per game with 85.0. They are forcing 12.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 44.6% from the floor (8th in basketball). The Minnesota defense gives up 35.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (356 of 996) and their opponents are converting on 81.1% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 20.5 assists and 35.2 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 10th and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Connecticut (-5)

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