Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 7/1/2023 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ABC

The Connecticut Sun (12-4) go to Michelob ULTRA Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Las Vegas Aces (14-1).

The Connecticut Sun stepped onto the hardwood against the New York Liberty and took a loss by a score of 89-81 in their last contest. Connecticut finished the contest having earned a 39.2% field goal percentage (31 of 79) and knocked down 6 out of their 19 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Sun made 13 of 14 shots for a percentage of 92.9%. When it comes to grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 34 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 18 assists in the game as well as forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 7 steals. When discussing the defense, Connecticut allowed the other team to go 48.6% from the floor on 34 of 70 shooting. New York dished out 24 assists and had 4 steals for the contest. Moreover, New York grabbed 38 boards (6 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 9 rejections. New York finished the contest at 85.7% from the free throw line by burying 12 of their 14 shots. They also buried 9 of 20 shots from long range.

DiJonai Carrington is someone who came through in the game. She ended up with 23 points on 8 of 11 shooting. She saw the court for 25 minutes and also grabbed 6 rebounds. Carrington finished the contest at 72.7% from the field and also distributed 2 assists.

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Connecticut comes into this one with a mark of 12-4 on the season. They currently have an average of 83.9 pts per game (5th in the WNBA) while going 43.9% from the field. The Sun are shooting 34.6% on 3-point shots (107 of 309) and 76.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Connecticut is pulling down 35.7 rebounds per game and has accumulated 340 dimes on the year, which is 1st in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 12.5 times per game and as a unit they commit 19.0 fouls per game. On the defensive end, the Sun are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game while drawing 20.0 fouls. They surrender 29.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 3rd in basketball in points per game allowed (78.2). The Sun are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.4% (239 of 320) and they concede 34.5 boards per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 11th in the league in giving up assists with 309 relinquished on the year.

The last time they took the court, the Las Vegas Aces got the win with a final of 98-81 when they played the New York Liberty. The Aces recorded 23 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 27 for this game. They turned the ball over 7 times, while recording 10 steals in the matchup. The Liberty were called for 14 fouls for this game which got the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 10 attempts. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throws for a rate of 90.0%. When talking about 3-point shots, Las Vegas buried 9 of 21 attempts (42.9%). When all was said and done, the Aces ended up shooting 40 out of 69 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 58.0%. The Aces permitted the Liberty to make 31 out of their 65 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.7% in the matchup. They finished 40.0% from 3-point land by shooting 8 out of 20 and finished the contest at 11 out of 15 from the charity stripe (73.3%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, Las Vegas permitted New York to get 31 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Kelsey Plum ended up being a factor for the Aces in the matchup. She made 7 out of 12 for this contest giving her a rate of 58.3%, and accumulated 3 rebounds. Plum accumulated 18 points in her 32 minutes on the court and had 8 assists in this game.

Las Vegas has a mark of 14-1 for the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Aces are shooting 50.3% from the field, which ranks 1st in basketball. Las Vegas has scored 1,397 points this season (93.1 per game) and they pull down 34.8 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 22.5 times per game (2nd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.5 times per game. The Aces commit 15.9 fouls per contest while shooting 81.9% from the charity stripe. The Aces defensively are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in PPG surrendered with 77.7. They allow 18.4 assists and 33.5 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 3rd and 2nd in the WNBA. The Las Vegas defense surrenders 34.3% from downtown (107 of 312) and their opponents are connecting on 77.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They are forcing their opponents into 13.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.3% from the floor (2nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Connecticut

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