Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, 7/4/2022 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks

Date: Monday, July 4, 2022

Location: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN

Crypto.com Arena is the site where and the Los Angeles Sparks (8-11) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (9-12) on Monday.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Indiana Fever and notched a win by a score of 99-78 in their last contest. Phoenix finished having earned a 54.3% FG percentage (38 out of 70) and buried 9 of 24 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Mercury converted 14 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 73.7%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 32 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 29 assists in the matchup as well as creating 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. When it comes to defending, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 42.9% from the floor on 27 out of 63 shooting. Indiana doled out 10 dimes and had 4 steals for this game. In addition, Indiana totaled 30 rebounds (10 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Indiana ended up shooting 71.4% at the free throw line by burying 15 of 21 tries. They also knocked down 9 out of their 21 tries from 3-point land.

Skylar Diggins-Smith is someone who was a major contributor for this contest. She accumulated 17 points on 7 of 15 shooting. She played for 30 minutes and also snagged 6 rebounds. Diggins-Smith finished shooting 46.7% from the field and also totaled 7 assists.

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Phoenix heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 9-12 this season. The Mercury are hitting 33.0% on shots from distance (182 of 552) and 80.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 82.8 pts per contest (4th in the WNBA) while going 44.1% from the field. They lose possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest and as a group they commit 20.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is pulling in 31.0 boards per contest and is sitting with 406 dimes so far this season, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing. On the defensive end, the Mercury have forced 13.3 turnovers per game and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They currently rank 10th in basketball in giving up assists with 428 surrendered this year. The Mercury defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 44.9% (280 of 401) and they surrender 35.7 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are surrendering 37.9% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 10th in the WNBA in opponents PPG (85.0).

The last time they took the court, the Los Angeles Sparks walked away with a victory by a final of 97-89 against the Dallas Wings. The Sparks were able to pull down 24 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 for this contest. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while getting 9 steals in this matchup. The Wings had 19 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Sparks to the charity stripe for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to bury 16 of them for a clip of 84.2%. When it comes to shots from downtown, Los Angeles made 7 of 19 tries (36.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Sparks went 37 out of 76 from the floor which had them sitting at 48.7%. The Sparks allowed the Wings to bury 33 out of 66 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 50.0% in this game. They shot 31.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 of 19 and ended up shooting 17 out of 25 at the charity stripe (68.0%). When talking about rebounding, Los Angeles allowed Dallas to grab 29 in all (3 on the offensive glass).

Liz Cambage ended up being a factor for the Sparks in this matchup. She made 7 out of 13 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and had 11 rebounds. Cambage earned 21 points in her 29 mins on the court and totaled 3 dimes in this matchup.

Los Angeles has a mark of 8-11 so far this season. The Sparks have committed 19.0 fouls per contest and they shoot 76.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 19.8 times per contest (7th in basketball) and they turn the ball over 14.1 times per game. Los Angeles has tallied 1,559 pts for the year (82.1 per contest) and they grab 32.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Sparks are hitting on 45.6% from the floor, which ranks 3rd in basketball. The Sparks on the defensive side of the court are 11th in basketball in points allowed per game with 86.1. They have forced 14.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.9% from the field (9th in the WNBA). The Los Angeles defense gives up 37.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (172 of 462) and their opposition knocks down 79.4% of their foul shots. They have conceded 20.3 dimes and 34.7 boards on a nightly basis, which is 6th and 6th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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