Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 9/15/2022 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Thursday, September 15, 2022

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (-5)

The Las Vegas Aces travel to Mohegan Sun Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Connecticut Sun in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. Vegas leads 2-0. Las Vegas opens this contest as 5 point favorites. The total opens at 165.

The Aces went home with a win by a final score of 85-71 in Game 2. Las Vegas finished the game having earned a 51.6% field goal percentage (33 of 64) and converted 6 out of their 26 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Aces made 13 of 17 attempts for a rate of 76.5%. Concerning grabbing boards, they collected 34 with 2 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 21 assists for this contest as well as forcing 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In relation to defense, Las Vegas let their opponent shoot 42.2% from the floor on 27 of 64 shooting. Connecticut doled out 6 assists and had 6 steals in the matchup. Moreover, Connecticut had 34 rebounds (6 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 2 blocked shots. Connecticut finished shooting 66.7% at the charity stripe by making 14 of 21 tries. They buried 3 of 14 tries from beyond the arc.

A'ja Wilson is someone who was a factor for the matchup. She ended up finishing with 26 points on 10 of 13 shooting. She saw the court for 37 minutes and grabbed 10 rebounds. Wilson finished the contest at 76.9% from the field but didn't record an assist.

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Las Vegas heads into this one with a record of 26-10 this season. They have an average of 90.4 pts per game (1st in the league) while going 46.0% from the floor. The Aces are hitting 36.1% on 3-point shots (343 of 951) and 82.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Las Vegas is snagging 35.4 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 748 dimes for the season, which ranks 4th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. They are giving up possession 11.1 times per contest and as a squad are committing 15.8 personal fouls per contest. Defensively, the Aces are forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 9th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 755 surrendered on the year. The Aces defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 43.7% (455 of 642) and they surrender 36.2 boards per game as a unit. They relinquish 35.6% on shots from downtown while they are 9th in basketball in points per game allowed (84.1).

In Game 2 the Sun were able to collect 28 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in this game. They also turned it over 8 times, while getting 6 steals in this matchup. The Aces earned 14 personal fouls for this contest which took the Sun to the charity stripe for 21 attempts. They were able to make 14 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 66.7%. In the matter of three-point shots, Connecticut converted 3 out of 14 tries (21.4%). When this game wrapped up, the Sun ended up going 27 for 64 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.2%. The Sun allowed the Aces to make 33 out of their 64 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.6% in the game. They finished 23.1% from distance by going 6 of 26 and finished the game at 13 out of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). When discussing team rebounding, Connecticut permitted Las Vegas to pull down 34 in all (2 on the offensive side).

Courtney Williams was important for the Sun for this game. She converted 9 of 17 in this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 52.9%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. Williams accumulated 18 points in her 33 minutes of playing time and had 5 assists in the matchup.

Connecticut has a mark of 25-11 for the campaign. Connecticut has scored 3,088 points so far this season (85.8 per contest) and they pull in 37.1 boards per game. The Sun are responsible for committing 17.1 fouls per game and they go 78.9% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Sun are shooting 46.2% from the field, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They are getting an assist 21.1 times per game (3rd in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 14.4 times per game. The Sun on defense are ranked 2nd in the league in PPG surrendered with 77.8. They give up 19.3 assists and 29.0 total boards per game, which is 3rd and 1st in basketball. The Connecticut defense allows 32.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (263 of 801) and opponents are converting on 80.4% of their free throw shots. They are forcing 15.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 43.9% from the floor (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Connecticut (+5)

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