Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/18/2022 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Sunday, September 18, 2022

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (-1)

The Connecticut Sun are headed to Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday where they'll take on the Las Vegas Aces in Game 4 of the WNBA Finals. Las Vegas leads the series 2-1. The odds on this matchup have Connecticut as 1 point favorites. The total opens at 162.

The Sun earned the victory with a final of 105-76 in Game 3. Connecticut finished the contest with a 55.8% FG percentage (43 out of 77) and knocked down 8 out of their 15 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Sun converted 11 of 13 attempts for a rate of 84.6%. When talking about rebounding, they earned 38 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 32 dimes for the game while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In relation to defending, Connecticut let their opponent shoot 45.0% from the field on 27 out of 60 shooting. Las Vegas earned 19 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. Additionally, Las Vegas grabbed 24 boards (3 offensive, 21 defensive) and had 7 rejections. Las Vegas finished shooting 73.3% at the charity stripe by knocking down 11 of 15 attempts. They converted 11 of 26 attempts from beyond the arc.

Alyssa Thomas is a player who was a factor for the game. She scored 16 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. She played for 34 mins and pulled down 15 rebounds. Thomas ended up going 57.1% from the field and also totaled 11 assists.

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Connecticut heads into this one with a win-loss record of 25-11 this season. They cough up possession 14.4 times per contest and as a squad are committing 17.1 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Connecticut is pulling in 37.1 boards per contest and has accumulated 759 assists for the season, which is 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Sun are hitting 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (230 of 649) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. They average 85.8 points per outing (3rd in the league) while hitting 46.2% from the floor. On defense, the Sun are forcing their opponents into 15.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.9 fouls. They concede 32.8% on 3-pointers while they are 2nd in the league in PPG allowed (77.8). The Sun defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 43.9% (557 of 680) and they concede 29.0 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 696 conceded this year.

In Game 3 the Aces were able to collect 21 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 for the matchup. They turned it over 14 times, while earning 3 steals for this contest. The Sun had 18 fouls in the game which took the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 15 shots. They were able to make 11 of them for a rate of 73.3%. When talking about shots from beyond the arc, Las Vegas knocked down 11 out of their 26 tries (42.3%). Overall, the Aces shot 27 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.0%. The Aces allowed the Sun to knock down 43 out of their 77 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.8% for this contest. They finished 53.3% from distance by going 8 of 15 and ended up shooting 11 of 13 from the free throw line (84.6%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Las Vegas allowed Connecticut to get 38 overall (10 on the offensive side).

A'ja Wilson was important for the Aces for the contest. She buried 8 of 14 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and totaled 4 rebounds. Wilson had 19 points in her 36 minutes on the hardwood and added 3 dimes for this contest.

Las Vegas has a record of 26-10 so far this year. Las Vegas has totaled 3,256 points this season (90.4 per contest) and they collect 35.4 boards per contest. The Aces commit 15.8 fouls per contest and they go 82.3% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Aces are hitting on 46.0% from the field, which is ranked 3rd in the WNBA. Their rate of earning assists is at 20.8 times per game (4th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 11.1 times per game. The Aces on defense are ranked 9th in the league in points per game surrendered with 84.1. They have conceded 21.0 assists and 36.2 boards per contest, which has them ranked 9th and 10th in basketball. The Las Vegas defense surrenders 35.6% on 3-point shots (329 of 925) and their opponents are making 79.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 12.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.7% from the floor (5th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Connecticut (-1)

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