Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/30/2021 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+6)

The Phoenix Mercury (19-13) go to Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Las Vegas Aces (24-8). Phoenix opens this game as 6 point dogs. The total opens at 170.

The Phoenix Mercury faced off with the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a loss by a final score of 96-90 in their last contest. Phoenix wrapped up the contest with a 47.9% FG percentage (34 out of 71) and converted 9 out of their 31 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Mercury knocked down 13 of 16 tries for a percentage of 81.3%. In the matter of grabbing boards, they earned 30 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 25 assists in this game while creating 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When discussing defense, Phoenix allowed their opponent to shoot 49.3% from the field on 36 out of 73 shooting. Las Vegas earned 6 assists and had 5 steals in this game. Furthermore, Las Vegas collected 34 boards (6 offensive, 28 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Las Vegas finished the game at 75.0% from the free throw line by making 15 of 20 attempts. They made 9 out of their 19 tries from beyond the arc.

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Brittney Griner is someone who came through for the contest. She ended up with 24 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 35:54 minutes played and also collected 7 boards. Griner shot 62.5% from the field and dished out 6 assists. Someone else that was a factor in this contest for the Mercury was Brianna Turner. She collected 8 rebounds in her 34:22 min played. She finished the game at 75.0% from the floor in the matchup by connecting on 6-of-8 (12 points). At the conclusion of this game, Turner accounted for 3 assists.

Phoenix heads into this contest with a win-loss record of 19-13 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 12.8 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 16.3 fouls per contest. As a unit, Phoenix is collecting 36.2 boards per game and has tallied 629 dimes for the year, which is 5th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Mercury are hitting 34.6% on 3-point shots (241 of 697) and 79.8% from the free throw line. They average 82.1 points per game (5th in the league) while hitting 45.0% from the field. Defensively, the Mercury are able to force 10.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.2 personal fouls. They are ranked 3rd in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 546 surrendered on the season. The Mercury are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.7% (322 of 583) and they surrender 34.9 boards per game as a basketball team. They relinquish 32.2% on 3-pointers and they rank 4th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (79.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Las Vegas Aces walked away with a victory by a final of 96-90 when they played the Phoenix Mercury. The Aces earned 28 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in this game. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while recording 5 steals for the matchup. The Mercury committed 18 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Aces to the charity stripe for 20 shots. They were able to convert 15 of them for a rate of 75.0%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, Las Vegas made 9 out of 19 tries (47.4%). Overall, the Aces ended up shooting 36 out of 73 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.3%. The Aces permitted the Mercury to make 34 out of 71 tries from the field which had them at 47.9% in this matchup. They finished 29.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 out of 31 and walked away from this one shooting 13 of 16 from the charity stripe (81.3%). When talking about cleaning up the glass, Las Vegas permitted Phoenix to collect 30 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

A'ja Wilson ended up being important for the Aces for the contest. She made 7 out of 12 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 58.3%, and earned 9 rebounds. Wilson racked up 15 points in her 33:11 mins of playing time and had 3 dimes in this contest. One more player that was pivotal for Las Vegas was Riquna Williams. She came away with 2 assists in her 33:00 mins on the hardwood, and she knocked down 8 out of 14 from the field. Williams ended up shooting 57.1% from the field and also earning 26 points and 4 total rebounds.

Las Vegas has a record of 24-8 for the season. The Aces commit 14.2 fouls per contest while shooting 81.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 20.8 times per game (3rd in the league) and they are turning it over 11.6 times per contest. Las Vegas has totaled 2,856 pts this season (89.3 per game) and they grab 38.6 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Aces are connecting on 47.2% from the field, which ranks them 1st in basketball. The Aces on the defensive side of the court are 5th in basketball in PPG allowed with 80.2. They are able to force 11.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.5% from the field (2nd in basketball). The Las Vegas defense gives up 30.6% on three-point shots (232 of 759) and their opposition knocks down 81.2% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 19.4 dimes and 34.9 total boards per game, which is 7th and 7th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-6)

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