Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/28/2021 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+200)

The Las Vegas Aces (24-8) play the Phoenix Mercury (19-13) at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday. Phoenix opens this matchup as 240 point dogs. The total has been set at 5.5.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Las Vegas Aces and ended up losing by a score of 84-83 in their last game. Phoenix walked away from the game having earned a 44.9% FG percentage (31 out of 69) and made 14 out of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Mercury made 7 of their 10 attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. With regard to rebounding, they collected a total of 33 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 23 assists in this game as well as forcing 8 turnovers and having 7 steals. When talking about defense, Phoenix allowed 46.4% from the floor on 32 of 69 shooting. Las Vegas distributed 6 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. In addition, Las Vegas collected 33 rebounds (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Las Vegas finished 93.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of 15 attempts. They made 6 out of their 17 shots from beyond the arc.

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Skylar Diggins-Smith is one player who played a role for this contest. She had 20 points on 7 of 20 shooting. She saw the court for 43:29 mins played and snagged 7 rebounds. Diggins-Smith went 35.0% from the floor and dished out 6 dimes. An additional player that came through in this matchup for the Mercury was Brittney Griner. She pulled down 16 rebounds in 40:48 min played. She finished the game shooting 64.7% from the floor in this game by going 11-of-17 (23 points). When this game wrapped up, Griner earned 4 assists.

Phoenix comes into this contest with a record of 19-13 for the campaign. The Mercury are shooting 34.6% on three-point attempts (241 of 697) and 79.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.1 points per game (5th in the league) while shooting 45.0% from the field. They are turning it over 12.8 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 16.3 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Phoenix is collecting 36.2 rebounds per contest and has totaled 629 assists this year, which is 5th in the league in terms of passing the rock. On defense, the Mercury are forcing 10.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.2 fouls. They are surrendering 32.2% on 3-pointers and they are 4th in the league in PPG allowed (79.5). The Mercury defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.7% (322 of 583) and they surrender 34.9 boards per game as a squad. They are 3rd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 546 surrendered so far this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Las Vegas Aces walked away with a victory by a final of 84-83 when they played the Phoenix Mercury. The Aces were able to snag 27 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards for a total of 33 for this game. They also turned it over 8 times, while getting 6 steals in this contest. The Mercury committed 13 personal fouls in the game which took the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 15 attempts. They were able to convert 14 of those for a clip of 93.3%. In reference to shooting from beyond the arc, Las Vegas converted 6 of their 17 tries (35.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Aces finished the game shooting 32 for 69 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.4%. The Aces allowed the Mercury to knock down 31 out of 69 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 44.9% in the game. They went 46.7% from three-point range by connecting on 14 out of 30 and ended up shooting 7 of 10 from the free throw line (70.0%). When it comes to rebounds, Las Vegas permitted Phoenix to grab 33 overall (7 on the offensive side).

Jackie Young ended up having an impact for the Aces for this contest. She converted 3 of 9 for this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and had 7 rebounds. Young had 10 points in her 28:13 mins of playing time and had 4 dimes for the matchup. Another player that ended up playing a role for Las Vegas was A'ja Wilson. She finished with 1 assist in her 23:56 mins played, and she knocked down 3 of 5 from the floor. Wilson walked away from this one going 60.0% from the field in addition to totaling 8 points and 6 total rebounds.

Las Vegas has a mark of 24-8 for the year. Las Vegas has totaled 2,856 points on the season (89.3 per contest) and they grab 38.6 boards per contest. The Aces commit 14.2 personal fouls per contest and they hit 81.9% from the free throw line. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aces are hitting on 47.2% from the field, which ranks them 1st in the WNBA. They are assisting teammates 20.8 times per game (3rd in the league) and they are turning it over 11.6 times per contest. The Aces on the defensive side of the court are 5th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 80.2. They have relinquished 19.4 assists and 34.9 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 7th and 7th in the WNBA. The Las Vegas defense concedes 30.6% on 3-point attempts (232 of 759) and their opposition makes 81.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing 11.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 41.5% from the field (2nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-240)

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