Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 10/10/2021 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Sunday, October 10, 2021

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+3.5)

Footprint Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury will take on the Chicago Sky on Sunday in Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. The odds on this contest have Phoenix as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 166.5.

The Sky played the Sun and walked away with a win by a score of 79-69 in their last contest. Chicago finished with a 44.4% field goal percentage (28 out of 63) and made 12 out of their 25 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Sky buried 11 of their 14 tries for a rate of 78.6%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected 33 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 20 assists in this contest while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 3 steals. When talking about defense, Chicago allowed the other team to shoot 38.1% from the field on 24 out of 63 shooting. Connecticut recorded 13 dimes and had 9 steals in this contest. Additionally, Connecticut grabbed 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive) and had 8 blocks. Connecticut ended up going 86.7% from the charity stripe by making 13 of their 15 attempts. They knocked down 8 out of their 17 tries from 3-point range.

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Candace Parker is a player who was a contributor for the game. She accumulated 17 points on 6 out of 12 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 33:56 minutes played and also totaled 9 boards. Parker went 50.0% from the field and also earned 7 assists. One more player that came through in the game for the Sky was Courtney Vandersloot. She grabbed 4 rebounds in her 33:00 min on the court. She finished shooting 53.8% from the field for this contest by going 7-of-13 (19 points). In all, Vandersloot totaled 4 assists.

Chicago heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 16-16 so far this year. The Sky are shooting 34.3% on shots from downtown (233 of 679) and 84.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 83.3 points per contest (3rd in the WNBA) while shooting 44.1% from the field. They cough up possession 13.8 times per contest and as a group they are committing 19.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Chicago is pulling in 34.9 boards per contest and has 697 assists for the season, which has them ranked 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. Defensively, the Sky have forced 14.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.6 fouls. They are ranked 5th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 604 surrendered so far this season. The Sky defense is giving up a FG percentage of 43.3% (474 of 532) and they surrender 35.9 rebounds per contest as a squad. They give up 35.2% on shots from downtown and they rank 8th in the WNBA in PPG from their opponents (81.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mercury walked away with a victory by a final of 87-84 when they faced the Aces. The Mercury were able to snag 24 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 29 for the matchup. They gave up possession 11 times, while earning 9 steals for this game. The Aces had 18 personal fouls for the contest which took the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 26 shots. They were able to bury 22 of the free throws for a clip of 84.6%. With respect to shooting from 3-point land, Phoenix buried 5 of their 21 attempts (23.8%). When this game wrapped up, the Mercury went 30 out of 65 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.2%. The Mercury allowed the Aces to make 29 out of 69 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 42.0% for this contest. They finished 30.0% from three-point range via 6 out of 20 and ended up shooting 20 of 20 from the free throw line (100.0%). With respect to how they rebounded, Phoenix permitted Las Vegas to grab 38 in all (12 on the offensive side).

Brittney Griner ended up being a major contributor for the Mercury for this game. She converted 11 out of 18 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 61.1%, and earned 9 rebounds. Griner racked up 28 points in her 37:47 minutes on the court, but wrapped up this contest with no dimes. Another player who came through for Phoenix was Diana Taurasi. She finished this one with 2 assists in 35:47 minutes on the court, and she knocked down 7 out of 14 from the floor. Taurasi walked away from this one going 50.0% from the floor in addition to totaling 24 points and 1 rebound.

Phoenix has a win-loss mark of 19-13 on the year. The Mercury commit 16.3 fouls per game and they connect on 79.8% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 19.7 times per game (5th in the league) and they are giving up possession 12.8 times per contest. Phoenix has accounted for 2,626 pts for the season (82.1 per contest) and they snag 36.2 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Mercury are hitting on 45.0% from the field, which has them ranked 4th in the league. The Mercury on defense are ranked 4th in basketball in points given up per game with 79.5. They are forcing 10.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 41.7% from the floor (3rd in the league). The Phoenix defense surrenders 32.2% on 3-point shots (227 of 705) and opponents are converting on 81.3% of their free throw shots. They surrender 17.1 assists and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 3rd and 5th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+3.5)

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