Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Predictions, WNBA Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun

IMG Academy

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Alyssa Thomas and the Connecticut Sun (23-11, 2nd in the Eastern Conference last year) host the Washington Mystics (26-8, 1st in the Eastern Conference last season) at IMG Academy on Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun. 

The Mystics were a good pick for basketball wagerers last season, having gone 22-18 ATS. The Sun covered the spread 50.0% of the time, going 20-20 against the spread. The Sun were inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 16-16 ATS. The Mystics covered the spread 55.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-15 against the spread.

Valuable Washington Mystics Betting Trends

The Mystics were a terrible Under play for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 26-15.

The Mystics covered the spread 45.0% of the time last season as the visitor, having gone 9-11 ATS.

Important Connecticut Sun Betting Trends

The Sun covered the spread 61.9% of the time last season at IMG Academy, going 13-8 against the spread.

The Sun were a decent Over play for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 21-20.

Related: Gambling 101 Docs Sports - Basketball Handicapping Tips

Player Spotlight

Aerial Powers comes into this contest after averaging 11.4 points per game while playing 19.8 minutes per night last season for the Mystics. She pulled down 3.2 rebounds per game and dished out 1.5 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage was 43% while her free throw percentage was at 87%. Leilani Mitchell averaged 12.8 points per game in 30.3 minutes per contest last season. She averaged 4.0 assists per contest and 3.0 rebounds per game for Washington. Her field goal percentage was 44% for the year while her free throw percentage was 83%.

Player Spotlight

Alyssa Thomas averaged 11.6 points per game while playing 30.2 minutes per contest last year for the Sun. She grabbed 7.8 rebounds per game and had 3.1 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage was 51% and her free throw percentage was at 50%. Jasmine Thomas averaged 11.1 points per game last season and she saw the court an average of 29.7 minutes per contest. She also averaged 2.9 rebounds per contest and 5.1 assists per game. Her field goal percentage was 39% and her free throw percentage was 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington averaged 89.3 points per contest last season, which ranked them 1st in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin was 12.0 and their shooting percentage was 47% as a team, which had them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shot 37% which was good for 2nd in the league. They averaged 33.3 rebounds per game and 21.9 assists per game, which ranked them 10th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 12th with 10.9 per game. The Mystics allowed 77.3 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 4th in the league. They also allowed a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 32.6 rebounds a game which ranked 2nd and they gave up 18.2 assists per contest, which put them in 4th place in the league. They forced 13.7 turnovers per game which ranked them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut was 4th in the league with 80.8 points per game last year. They were 7th in the league in shooting at 42%, while their average scoring margin was 2.9. They shot 36% from 3-point range, which was good for 3rd in the WNBA. They were 2nd in the league in rebounding with 36.8 boards per game, and 6th in assists per contest with 19.2. The Sun were 8th in turnovers per game with 13.2. The Sun surrendered 77.9 points per contest, which ranked them 7th in the WNBA. Their defense allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They ranked 10th with 19.6 assists allowed per contest and 4th with 33.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Sun were 9th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Mystics were 1st in the WNBA in offensive rating with 115.9, and their defensive rating of 100.3 ranked 7th. In terms of pace they were 8th in the league with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% was 1st. As a team they were 1st in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league. Washington was 12th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 48%, which was 5th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Connecticut was 11th in the WNBA in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 49%, which was 3rd in the league. The Sun were 3rd in the WNBA in offensive rating with 102.4, and their defensive rating of 98.7 was ranked 9th. In terms of pace they were 4th in the league with 78.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% was 5th. As a team they were 8th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shot 3-pointers on 29% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Connecticut 

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