Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Prediction, 10/6/2020 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm

Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Location: IMG Academy

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Storm (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 170.5

A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces head to IMG Academy on Tuesday where they'll take on the Seattle Storm in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. Seattle opens this matchup as 8.5 point favorites. The total is set at 170.5.

The Storm were able to take a 2-0 series lead on Sunday with a 104-91 win in Game 2. Breanna Stewart had 22 pts, Natasha Howard and Alysha Clark had 21, and Sue Bird chipped in 16 points to lead a balanced Seattle effort. The Aces were led by A'ja Wilson, who finished with 20 pts and 7 boards, but it wasn't enough to overcome another hot shooting game for the Storm. 

A'ja Wilson comes into this contest averaging 20.5 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per night so far this season for the Aces. She pulls down 8.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 48% while her free throw percentage is currently at 78%. Danielle Robinson averages 7.4 points per game in 22.4 minutes per contest this season. She averages 3.2 assists per contest and 2.4 rebounds per game for Las Vegas. Her field goal percentage is 51% for the year while her free throw percentage is 81%.

Breanna Stewart averages 19.7 points per game while playing 30.4 minutes per contest this year for the Storm. She grabs 8.3 rebounds per game and has 3.6 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 45% and her free throw percentage currently is at 89%. Natasha Howard averages 9.5 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 21.0 minutes per contest. She also averages 7.1 rebounds per contest and 1.0 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 53% and her free throw percentage is 78%.

Related: Get WNBA tips & picks on all of today's games

Las Vegas averages 88.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin is 8.6 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 4th in the league. They average 37.4 rebounds per game and 20.7 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 12.2 per game. The Aces allow 80.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.8 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 19.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 6th in the league.

Seattle is 2nd in the league with 87.5 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 11.5. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the WNBA. They are 5th in the league in rebounding with 34.4 boards per game, and 1st in assists per contest with 21.9. The Storm are 9th in turnovers per game with 13.2. The Storm surrender 76.0 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 40% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 17.9 assists allowed per contest and 7th with 34.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Storm are 11th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game this season.

The Aces are 3rd in the WNBA in offensive rating with 109.6, and their defensive rating of 99 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 81 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 6th. As a team they are 6th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 17% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league. Las Vegas is 11th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 10th in the league.

Seattle is 8th in the WNBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 45%, which is 12th in the league. The Storm are 1st in the WNBA in offensive rating with 110.4, and their defensive rating of 95.9 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 6th in the league with 79.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 3rd. As a team they are 2nd in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Seattle (-8.5)

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