Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 9/27/2020 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: IMG Academy

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Sun (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 158.5

IMG Academy is the venue where Brionna Jones and the Connecticut Sun (10-12, 2nd in the Eastern Conference) will take on the Las Vegas Aces (18-4, 1st in the Western Conference) on Sunday in Game 4 of their semifinal series. Las Vegas opens this matchup as 4.5 point favorites. The total opens at 158.5.

The Sun took a 2-1 series lead with a 77-68 win on Thursday night. Alyssa Thomas led Connecticut with 23 points and 12 boards while playing with a dislocated shoulder. The Sun ended the game on a 20-4 run to get within one game of advancing to the WNBA Finals. A'ja Wilson lead Vegas in defeat, tallying 20 points and 12 rebounds. 

Angel McCoughtry comes into this game averaging 14.4 points per contest while being on the court 20.0 minutes per night so far this year for the Aces. She grabs 5.1 rebounds per contest and hands out 2.5 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 52% while her free throw percentage is currently at 88%. A'ja Wilson averages 20.5 points per game in 31.7 minutes per contest this season. She averages 2.0 assists per contest and 8.5 rebounds per game for Las Vegas. Her field goal percentage is 48% for the year while her free throw percentage is 78%.

Brionna Jones averages 11.2 points per game while playing 26.1 minutes per contest this year for the Sun. She grabs 5.6 rebounds per game and has 1.2 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 61% and her free throw percentage currently is at 69%. DeWanna Bonner averages 19.7 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 33.3 minutes per contest. She also averages 7.8 rebounds per contest and 3.0 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 42% and her free throw percentage is 90%.

Related: Get WNBA predictions on all of today's games

Las Vegas averages 88.7 points per game this season, which ranks them 1st in the league. Their average scoring margin is 8.6 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 4th in the WNBA. They average 37.4 rebounds per contest and 20.7 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 12.2 per game. The Aces allow 80.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.8 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 19.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 6th in the league.

Connecticut is 10th in the league with 80.4 points per game this year. They are 10th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 0.5. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 11th in the WNBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 35.5 boards per game, and 9th in assists per contest with 18.3. The Sun are 8th in turnovers per game with 13.3. The Sun surrender 79.9 points per contest, which ranks them 2nd in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 4th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 18.4 assists allowed per contest and 5th with 33.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Sun are 10th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 15.0 per game this season.

The Aces are 3rd in the WNBA in offensive rating with 109.6, and their defensive rating of 99 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 81 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 6th. As a team they are 6th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 17% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league. Las Vegas is 11th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 10th in the league.

Connecticut is 9th in the WNBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 8th in the league. The Sun are 10th in the WNBA in offensive rating with 101.7, and their defensive rating of 101.1 is ranked 9th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 78.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 47% is 11th. As a team they are 11th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 27% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-4.5)

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