Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics Predictions, WNBA Picks, Betting Tips 7/25/2020

Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics

IMG Academy

Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.

Erica Wheeler and the Indiana Fever (13-21, 4th in the Eastern Conference last year) go to IMG Academy on Saturday where they'll take on the Washington Mystics (26-8, 1st in the Eastern Conference last season). Washington opens this contest as 3.5 point favorites. 

The Fever were a good pick for WNBA bettors last season, having gone 17-16 ATS. Washington covered the spread 55.0% of the time, going 22-18 against the spread. The Mystics were a great pick for basketball wagerers as a favorite, going 19-15 ATS. Indiana went 4-6 against the spread as the underdog, so they covered the spread 40.0% of the time.

Valuable Indiana Fever Betting Trends

The Fever were an excellent Over choice for O/U WNBA bettors, having gone 20-14.

The Fever covered the spread 56.3% of the time last season away from home, having gone 9-7 ATS.

Important Washington Mystics Betting Trends

Washington covered the spread 65.0% of the time last season at IMG Academy, going 13-7 against the spread.

The Mystics were an excellent Over choice for O/U WNBA bettors, having gone 26-15.

Related: Gambling 101 Docs Sports - Basketball Handicapping Tips

Player Spotlight

Erica Wheeler comes into this contest after averaging 10.1 points per game while playing 25.0 minutes per night last season for the Fever. She pulled down 3.0 rebounds per game and dished out 5.0 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage was 43% while her free throw percentage was at 87%. Candice Dupree averaged 11.6 points per game in 30.7 minutes per contest last season. She averaged 2.5 assists per contest and 5.0 rebounds per game for Indiana. Her field goal percentage was 47% for the year while her free throw percentage was 84%.

Player Spotlight

Leilani Mitchell averaged 12.8 points per game while playing 30.3 minutes per contest last year for the Mystics. She grabbed 3.0 rebounds per game and had 4.0 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage was 44% and her free throw percentage was at 83%. Aerial Powers averaged 11.4 points per game last season and she saw the court an average of 19.8 minutes per contest. She also averaged 3.2 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. Her field goal percentage was 43% and her free throw percentage was 87%.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana averaged 77.6 points per contest last season, which ranked them 7th in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin was -2.7 and their shooting percentage was 42% as a team, which had them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shot 35% which was good for 4th in the league. They averaged 35.1 rebounds per game and 17.3 assists per game, which ranked them 5th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 9th with 12.9 per game. The Fever allowed 80.3 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 10th in the league. They also allowed a 42% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 12th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 34.7 rebounds a game which ranked 6th and they gave up 20.5 assists per contest, which put them in 12th place in the league. They forced 12.3 turnovers per game which ranked them 3rd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington was 1st in the league with 89.3 points per game last year. They were 1st in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin was 12.0. They shot 37% from 3-point range, which was good for 2nd in the WNBA. They were 10th in the league in rebounding with 33.3 boards per game, and 1st in assists per contest with 21.9. The Mystics were 12th in turnovers per game with 10.9. The Mystics surrendered 77.3 points per contest, which ranked them 4th in the WNBA. Their defense allowed a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 4th with 18.2 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 32.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mystics were 8th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Fever were 7th in the WNBA in offensive rating with 100.5, and their defensive rating of 104 ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they were 9th in the league with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 46% was 9th. As a team they were 9th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shot 3-pointers on 24% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league. Indiana was 10th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 47%, which was 7th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Washington was 12th in the league in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 48%, which was 5th in the WNBA. The Mystics were 1st in the league in defensive rating with 100.3, and their offensive rating of 115.9 was ranked 7th. They were 8th in the WNBA in pace with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% was 1st. As a unit they were 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Washington -3.5

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