Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Predictions, WNBA Picks, Betting Tips 7/26/2020

Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

IMG Academy

Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.

Jasmine Thomas and the Connecticut Sun (23-11, 2nd in the Eastern Conference last year) are headed to IMG Academy on Sunday where they'll take on the Minnesota Lynx (18-16, 4th in the Western Conference last season). 

The Sun were good for WNBA bettors last season, having gone 20-20 ATS. Minnesota covered 52.9% of the time, going 18-16 against the spread. The Sun were a good bet for wagerers as favorites, going 16-16 ATS. Minnesota covered 55.6% of the time as the underdog, having gone 10-8 against the spread.

Valuable Connecticut Sun Betting Trends

The Sun were a less than ideal Under play for O/U basketball bettors, having gone 21-20.

The Sun covered 36.8% of the time last season as the road team, having gone 7-12 ATS.

Important Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends

Minnesota covered 68.8% of the time last season at IMG Academy, going 11-5 against the spread.

The Lynx were a less than ideal Under play for O/U basketball bettors, having gone 18-17.

Related: Gambling 101 Docs Sports - Basketball Handicapping Tips

Player Spotlight

Jasmine Thomas comes into this contest after averaging 11.1 points per game while playing 29.7 minutes per night last season for the Sun. She pulled down 2.9 rebounds per game and dished out 5.1 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage was 39% while her free throw percentage was at 80%. Alyssa Thomas averaged 11.6 points per game in 30.2 minutes per contest last season. She averaged 3.1 assists per contest and 7.8 rebounds per game for Connecticut. Her field goal percentage was 51% for the year while her free throw percentage was 50%.

Player Spotlight

Napheesa Collier averaged 13.1 points per game while playing 33.3 minutes per contest last year for the Lynx. She grabbed 6.6 rebounds per game and had 2.6 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage was 49% and her free throw percentage was at 79%. Sylvia Fowles averaged 13.6 points per game last season and she saw the court an average of 29.5 minutes per contest. She also averaged 8.9 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. Her field goal percentage was 59% and her free throw percentage was 71%.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut averaged 80.8 points per contest last season, which ranked them 4th in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin was 2.9 and their shooting percentage was 42% as a team, which had them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shot 36% which was good for 3rd in the league. They averaged 36.8 rebounds per game and 19.2 assists per game, which ranked them 2nd and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 8th with 13.2 per game. The Sun allowed 77.9 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 7th in the league. They also allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 33.3 rebounds a game which ranked 4th and they gave up 19.6 assists per contest, which put them in 10th place in the league. They forced 14.7 turnovers per game which ranked them 9th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Minnesota was 6th in the league with 78.4 points per game last year. They were 2nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin was 2.5. They shot 33% from 3-point range, which was good for 9th in the WNBA. They were 8th in the league in rebounding with 34.0 boards per game, and 4th in assists per contest with 20.3. The Lynx were 1st in turnovers per game with 15.3. The Lynx surrendered 75.9 points per contest, which ranked them 2nd in the WNBA. Their defense allowed a 43% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 5th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 2nd with 17.5 assists allowed per contest and 1st with 31.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Lynx were 12th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 15.7 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Sun were 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 98.7, and their offensive rating of 102.4 was ranked 9th. They were 4th in the WNBA in pace with 78.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% was 5th. As a unit they were 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the WNBA. Connecticut was 11th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 49%, which was 3rd in the WNBA.

Advanced Statistics

Minnesota was 1st in the WNBA in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 17.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 17.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 48%, which was 4th in the league. The Lynx were 6th in the WNBA in offensive rating with 100.8, and their defensive rating of 97.7 was ranked 11th. In terms of pace they were 6th in the league with 77.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% was 3rd. As a team they were 3rd in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shot 3-pointers on 26% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay Prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Connecticut and under the total points

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