Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/29/2020 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2020

Location: IMG Academy

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Aces (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 158

A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces host the Connecticut Sun at IMG Academy on Tuesday in Game 5 of their WNBA Semifinal series. The odds on this contest have Las Vegas as 4 point favorites. The O/U opens at 158.

The Aces were able to tie the series at 2-2 with a 84-75 win over the Sun on Sunday. Angel McCoughtry led Vegas with 29 points while A'ja Wilson tallied 18 pts and 13 rebounds. Alyssa Thomas once again led the Sun in the loss, collecting 25 points. 

DeWanna Bonner comes into this contest averaging 19.7 points per game while playing 33.3 minutes per night so far this season for the Sun. She pulls down 7.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.0 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 42% while her free throw percentage is currently at 90%. Jasmine Thomas averages 10.2 points per game in 25.5 minutes per contest this season. She averages 4.0 assists per contest and 1.7 rebounds per game for Connecticut. Her field goal percentage is 40% for the year while her free throw percentage is 91%.

Wilson averages 20.5 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per contest this year for the Aces. She grabs 8.5 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 48% and her free throw percentage currently is at 78%. Kayla McBride averages 12.5 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 26.7 minutes per contest. She also averages 2.3 rebounds per contest and 2.4 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 43% and her free throw percentage is 90%.

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Connecticut averages 80.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 10th in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.5 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 10th. Behind the arc they shoot 31% which is good for 11th in the league. They average 35.5 rebounds per game and 18.3 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 9th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 13.3 per game. The Sun allow 79.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 4th and 3rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 33.0 rebounds a game which ranks 5th and they give up 18.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 15.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league.

Las Vegas is 1st in the league with 88.7 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 8.6. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 4th in the WNBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 37.4 boards per game, and 3rd in assists per contest with 20.7. The Aces are 10th in turnovers per game with 12.2. The Aces surrender 80.1 points per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 43% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 19.3 assists allowed per contest and 4th with 32.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Aces are 6th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game this season.

The Sun are 10th in the league in defensive rating with 101.1, and their offensive rating of 101.7 is ranked 9th. They are 8th in the WNBA in pace with 78.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 47% is 11th. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 27% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the WNBA. Connecticut is 9th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 8th in the WNBA.

Las Vegas is 11th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 10th in the WNBA. The Aces are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 99, and their offensive rating of 109.6 is ranked 11th. They are 2nd in the WNBA in pace with 81 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 6th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 17% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-4)

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