» WNBA Picks » Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Game 3 WNBA Picks Against the Spread 9/22/2019

Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Game 3 WNBA Picks Against the Spread 9/22/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 9/20/2019

Sunday, September 22, 2019

Mandalay Bay Event Center

Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.

Mandalay Bay Event Center is the venue where A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces (21-13, 2nd in the Western Conference) will play the Washington Mystics (26-8, 1st in the Eastern Conference) on Sunday in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals. Washington opens as 2.5 point favorites. The total is set at 181.5. The Mystic took a 2-0 series lead with a 103-91 win on Thursday. Emma Meesseman had a huge game offensively, scoring 30 points, grabbing 6 rebounds, and 4 assists. Liz Cambage led the Aces with 23 points, 10 rebounds, and 2 assists.

The Mystics have been bad for Vegas, having gone 20-14 ATS. Las Vegas is covering the spread 38.9% of the time, going 14-22 against the spread.

Valuable Washington Mystics Betting Trends

The Mystics have been a very good Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 21-14.

Washington is covering the spread 50.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 8-8 ATS.

Important Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends

Las Vegas is covering the spread 41.2% of the time at Mandalay Bay Event Center, going 7-10 against the spread.

The Aces have been a pretty good Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 19-16.

Key Washington Mystics Injuries

05/30/19 G Kiara Leslie Knee is out indefinitely

Key Las Vegas Aces Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Natasha Cloud comes into this contest averaging 9.0 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per night so far this season for the Mystics. She pulls down 2.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.6 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 39% while her free throw percentage is currently at 68%. Elena Delle Donne averages 19.5 points per game in 29.1 minutes per contest this season. She averages 2.2 assists per contest and 8.2 rebounds per game for Washington. Her field goal percentage is 52% for the year while her free throw percentage is 97%.

Player Spotlight

A'ja Wilson averages 16.5 points per game while playing 28.5 minutes per contest this year for the Aces. She grabs 6.5 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 48% and her free throw percentage currently is at 79%. Kayla McBride averages 13.3 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per contest. She also averages 4.1 rebounds per contest and 2.6 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 43% and her free throw percentage is 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington averages 89.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin is 12.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 33.3 rebounds per game and 21.9 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 12th with 10.9 per game. The Mystics allow 77.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.6 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 18.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 13.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Las Vegas is 3rd in the league with 82.2 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 3.4. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 1st in the WNBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 38.9 boards per game, and 3rd in assists per contest with 20.9. The Aces are 5th in turnovers per game with 14.1. The Aces surrender 78.8 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 40% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 19.3 assists allowed per contest and 7th with 35.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Aces are 2nd in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 12.1 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Mystics are 1st in the WNBA in offensive rating with 115.9, and their defensive rating of 100.3 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league. Washington is 12th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 5th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Las Vegas is 5th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 45%, which is 12th in the WNBA. The Aces are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 96.8, and their offensive rating of 100.9 is ranked 12th. They are 2nd in the WNBA in pace with 80.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 47% is 8th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 21% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Las Vegas +2.5

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