» WNBA Picks » Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Game 4 Betting Tips and Predictions 10/7/2019

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Game 4 Betting Tips and Predictions 10/7/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 10/7/2019

Tuesday, October 8, 2019

Mohegan Sun Arena

Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.

Ariel Atkins and the Washington Mystics head to Mohegan Sun Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Connecticut Sun in Game 4 of the WNBA Finals. The Mystics took a 2-1 series lead with a 94-81 win in Game 3. Kristi Toliver led Washington with 20 points, 2 rebounds, and 10 assists while Alyssa Thomas put up 13 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists for the Sun. Connecticut opens Game 4 as 3.5 favorites. The total is set at 174.5.

The Mystics have been a very good pick for wagerers, having gone 22-17 ATS. The Sun are covering 48.7% of the time, going 19-20 against the spread.

Valuable Washington Mystics Betting Trends

The Mystics have been an awful Under bet for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 25-15.

Washington is covering 45.0% of the time on the road, having gone 9-11 ATS.

Important Connecticut Sun Betting Trends

The Sun are covering 61.9% of the time at Mohegan Sun Arena, going 13-8 against the spread.

The Sun have been a dicey Under bet for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 20-20.

Key Washington Mystics Injuries

05/30/19 G Kiara Leslie Knee is out indefinitely

Key Connecticut Sun Injuries

09/29/19 G Layshia Clarendon Ankle is questionable Tuesday vs Wash Mystics

Player Spotlight

Ariel Atkins comes into this contest averaging 10.3 points per game while playing 24.4 minutes per night so far this season for the Mystics. She pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 42% while her free throw percentage is currently at 81%. Natasha Cloud averages 9.0 points per game in 32.1 minutes per contest this season. She averages 5.6 assists per contest and 2.5 rebounds per game for Washington. Her field goal percentage is 39% for the year while her free throw percentage is 68%.

Player Spotlight

Alyssa Thomas averages 11.6 points per game while playing 30.2 minutes per contest this year for the Sun. She grabs 7.8 rebounds per game and has 3.1 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 51% and her free throw percentage currently is at 50%. Jonquel Jones averages 14.6 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 28.8 minutes per contest. She also averages 9.7 rebounds per contest and 1.5 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 45% and her free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington averages 89.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin is 12.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 33.3 rebounds per game and 21.9 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 12th with 10.9 per game. The Mystics allow 77.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 32.6 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 18.2 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 13.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut is 4th in the league with 80.8 points per game this year. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 42%, while their average scoring margin is 2.9. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the WNBA. They are 2nd in the league in rebounding with 36.8 boards per game, and 6th in assists per contest with 19.2. The Sun are 8th in turnovers per game with 13.2. The Sun surrender 77.9 points per contest, which ranks them 7th in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 19.6 assists allowed per contest and 4th with 33.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Sun are 9th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 14.7 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Mystics are 1st in the WNBA in offensive rating with 115.9, and their defensive rating of 100.3 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league. Washington is 12th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 5th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Connecticut is 11th in the WNBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 3rd in the league. The Sun are 3rd in the WNBA in offensive rating with 102.4, and their defensive rating of 98.7 is ranked 9th. In terms of pace they are 4th in the league with 78.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% is 5th. As a team they are 8th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Washington +3.5

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