Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun WNBA Point Spread Picks 5/28/2019

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Mohegan Sun Arena

Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.

Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever (6-28 last season, 6th in the Eastern Conference) head to Mohegan Sun Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Connecticut Sun (21-13 last year, 3rd in the Eastern Conference). The line on this matchup has Connecticut as 13 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 162.

The Fever were excellent for Las Vegas last season, having gone 12-22 ATS. Connecticut covered the spread 45.7% of the time, going 16-19 against the spread. The Sun were a less than ideal pick for WNBA wagerers as favorites, going 13-14 ATS. Indiana went 0-2 against the spread as an underdog last season.

Valuable Indiana Fever Betting Trends

The Fever were a solid Under play for over/under WNBA bettors, having gone 16-16.

The Fever covered the spread 52.9% of the time last season on the road, having gone 9-8 ATS.

Important Connecticut Sun Betting Trends

Connecticut covered the spread 41.2% of the time last season at Mohegan Sun Arena, going 7-10 against the spread.

The Sun were a solid Under play for over/under WNBA bettors, having gone 17-17.

Key Indiana Fever Injuries

04/05/19 G Victoria Vivians ACL is out for season

Key Connecticut Sun Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Kelsey Mitchell comes into this contest after averaging 12.7 points per game while playing 24.4 minutes per night last season for the Fever. She pulled down 1.8 rebounds per game and dished out 2.7 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage was 35% while her free throw percentage was at 80%. Candice Dupree averaged 14.2 points per game in 31.4 minutes per contest last season. She averaged 1.7 assists per contest and 6.4 rebounds per game for Indiana. Her field goal percentage was 49% for the year while her free throw percentage was 82%.

Player Spotlight

Courtney Williams averaged 12.6 points per game while playing 27.1 minutes per contest last year for the Sun. She grabbed 5.9 rebounds per game and had 3.0 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage was 46% and her free throw percentage was at 68%. Jasmine Thomas averaged 12.9 points per game last season and she saw the court an average of 28.1 minutes per contest. She also averaged 3.3 rebounds per contest and 4.8 assists per game. Her field goal percentage was 40% and her free throw percentage was 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana averaged 76.4 points per contest last season, which ranked them 12th in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin was -9.3 and their shooting percentage was 41% as a team, which had them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shot 33% which was good for 9th in the league. They averaged 33.0 rebounds per game and 16.0 assists per game, which ranked them 9th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 10th with 11.2 per game. The Fever allowed 85.7 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 11th in the league. They also allowed a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 12th and 7th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 37.0 rebounds a game which ranked 12th and they gave up 20.5 assists per contest, which put them in 11th place in the league. They forced 13.0 turnovers per game which ranked them 9th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Connecticut was 1st in the league with 87.6 points per game last year. They were 2nd in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin was 5.9. They shot 37% from 3-point range, which was good for 2nd in the WNBA. They were 1st in the league in rebounding with 36.9 boards per game, and 5th in assists per contest with 19.6. The Sun were 5th in turnovers per game with 13.0. The Sun surrendered 81.7 points per contest, which ranked them 6th in the WNBA. Their defense allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 5th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 3rd with 18.2 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 32.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Sun were 10th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 13.4 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Fever were 12th in the league in defensive rating with 109.7, and their offensive rating of 97.8 was ranked 2nd. They were 9th in the WNBA in pace with 77 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 45% was 12th. As a unit they were 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 49% and they shot 3-pointers on 24% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the WNBA. Indiana was 12th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 52%, which was 1st in the WNBA.

Advanced Statistics

Connecticut was 7th in the league in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 14.0 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.0 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 49%, which was 9th in the WNBA. The Sun were 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 103.3, and their offensive rating of 110.8 was ranked 8th. They were 5th in the WNBA in pace with 79.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% was 3rd. As a unit they were 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Connecticut -13

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