Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun WNBA Picks & Predictions 7/19/2019
Friday, July 19, 2019
Mohegan Sun Arena
Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.
Jasmine Thomas and the Connecticut Sun (11-6, 1st in the Eastern Conference) host the Atlanta Dream (5-12, 6th in the Eastern Conference) at Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday, July 19, 2019. Connecticut opens this matchup as 4 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 152.
The Dream have been pretty good for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 8-9 ATS. Connecticut is covering 47.1% of the time, going 8-9 against the spread.
Valuable Atlanta Dream Betting Trends
The Dream have been a bad Over option for O/U WNBA bettors, having gone 6-10.
Atlanta is covering 57.1% of the time on the road, having gone 4-3 ATS.
Important Connecticut Sun Betting Trends
Connecticut is covering 22.2% of the time at Mohegan Sun Arena, going 2-7 against the spread.
The Sun have been a bad Over option for O/U WNBA bettors, having gone 6-11.
Key Atlanta Dream Injuries
05/10/19 F Angel McCoughtry Knee is out indefinitely
Key Connecticut Sun Injuries
06/26/19 G Layshia Clarendon Ankle is out 3-4 months
Player Spotlight
Tiffany Hayes comes into this contest averaging 13.5 points per game while playing 28.6 minutes per night so far this season for the Dream. She pulls down 3.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.9 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 40% while her free throw percentage is currently at 76%. Brittney Sykes averages 10.7 points per game in 26.8 minutes per contest this season. She averages 2.6 assists per contest and 4.8 rebounds per game for Atlanta. Her field goal percentage is 37% for the year while her free throw percentage is 69%.
Player Spotlight
Jasmine Thomas averages 11.2 points per game while playing 29.8 minutes per contest this year for the Sun. She grabs 2.9 rebounds per game and has 5.5 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 38% and her free throw percentage currently is at 81%. Courtney Williams averages 11.1 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 28.4 minutes per contest. She also averages 5.6 rebounds per contest and 3.2 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 38% and her free throw percentage is 76%.
Related: Get WNBA tips & picks on all of today's games
Useful Team Statistics
Atlanta averages 70.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin is -6.4 and their shooting percentage is 37% as a team, which has them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shoot 28% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 37.4 rebounds per game and 15.9 assists per game, which ranks them 2nd and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 7th with 13.6 per game. The Dream allow 76.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 2nd and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 39.9 rebounds a game which ranks 12th and they give up 18.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 5th place in the league. They force 12.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 4th in the league.
Useful Team Statistics
Connecticut is 6th in the league with 77.6 points per game this year. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is 2.3. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the WNBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 36.9 boards per game, and 6th in assists per contest with 18.1. The Sun are 8th in turnovers per game with 13.4. The Sun surrender 75.3 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 43% shooting percentage and a 28% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 19.2 assists allowed per contest and 3rd with 33.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Sun are 8th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per game this season.
Advanced Statistics
The Dream are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 99.8, and their offensive rating of 91.5 is ranked 4th. They are 8th in the WNBA in pace with 76.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 41% is 12th. As a unit they are 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 45% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shot attempts, ranking 4th in the WNBA. Atlanta is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.0 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 45%, which is 10th in the WNBA.
Advanced Statistics
Connecticut is 8th in the WNBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 47%, which is 6th in the league. The Sun are 3rd in the WNBA in offensive rating with 100, and their defensive rating of 97.1 is ranked 9th. In terms of pace they are 5th in the league with 77.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 46% is 8th. As a team they are 10th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 49% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shots, ranking 8th in the league.
Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Connecticut
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