» WNBA Picks » Aces vs Mystics WNBA Semifinals Game 1 Predictions & Tips 9/17/2019

Aces vs Mystics WNBA Semifinals Game 1 Predictions & Tips 9/17/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 9/16/2019

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Entertainment and Sports Arena

Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.

Kayla Mcbride and the Las Vegas Aces (21-13, 2nd in the Western Conference) go to Entertainment and Sports Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Washington Mystics (26-8, 1st in the Eastern Conference) in Game 1 of the WNBA Semifinals. The Aces had a dramatic 93-92 win after hitting a 3-pointer with 4 seconds left after stealing an errant pass. Liz Cambage paced the Aces with 23 points, 17 rebounds, and 1 assist. The Mystics had a bye so they should be well rested in this matchup.

The Aces have been solid for oddsmakers, having gone 13-21 ATS. Washington covers the spread 59.4% of the time, going 19-13 against the spread.

Valuable Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends

The Aces have been an inconsistent Under bet for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 17-16.

Las Vegas covers the spread 35.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 6-11 ATS.

Important Washington Mystics Betting Trends

The Mystics cover the spread 68.8% of the time at Entertainment and Sports Arena, going 11-5 against the spread.

The Mystics have been a rough Under bet for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 19-14.

Key Las Vegas Aces Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Washington Mystics Injuries

08/26/19 G Kristi Toliver Knee is out indefinitely
05/30/19 G Kiara Leslie Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Kayla Mcbride comes into this game averaging 13.3 points per contest while being on the court 29.1 minutes per night so far this year for the Aces. She grabs 4.1 rebounds per contest and hands out 2.6 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 43% while her free throw percentage is currently at 91%. A'ja Wilson averages 16.5 points per game in 28.5 minutes per contest this season. She averages 1.8 assists per contest and 6.5 rebounds per game for Las Vegas. Her field goal percentage is 48% for the year while her free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Ariel Atkins averages 10.3 points per game while playing 24.4 minutes per contest this year for the Mystics. She grabs 2.8 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 42% and her free throw percentage currently is at 81%. Elena Delle Donne averages 19.5 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 29.1 minutes per contest. She also averages 8.2 rebounds per contest and 2.2 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 52% and her free throw percentage is 97%.

Useful Team Statistics

Las Vegas averages 82.2 points per game this season, which ranks them 3rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 5th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 1st in the WNBA. They average 38.9 rebounds per contest and 20.9 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 5th with 14.1 per game. The Aces allow 78.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 40% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 35.1 rebounds a game which ranks 7th and they give up 19.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 12.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington is 1st in the league with 89.3 points per game this year. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 12.0. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the WNBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 33.3 boards per game, and 1st in assists per contest with 21.9. The Mystics are 12th in turnovers per game with 10.9. The Mystics surrender 77.3 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 18.2 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 32.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mystics are 8th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Aces are 5th in the WNBA in offensive rating with 100.9, and their defensive rating of 96.8 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 80.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 47% is 8th. As a team they are 6th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 21% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league. Las Vegas is 5th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 45%, which is 12th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Washington is 12th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 48%, which is 5th in the WNBA. The Mystics are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 100.3, and their offensive rating of 115.9 is ranked 7th. They are 8th in the WNBA in pace with 76.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Las Vegas

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