Yuneisy Duben vs Carli Judice Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Yuneisy Duben vs Carli Judice
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Yuneisy Duben will battle Carli Judice at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The opening odds have Duben priced at +300 while Judice is coming in at -380.
Yuneisy Duben looks to add a win to her total of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Carli "Crispy" Judice comes in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 3-2-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 68". In the category of significant strikes, Yuneisy Duben connects on 20.55 per minute and Carli Judice is landing 11.23 significant strikes per minute. Duben connects on 64% of the significant strikes she attempts while Judice is landing 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Duben absorbs 11.51 significant strikes per min while "Crispy" takes 10.10. Duben also defends against 41% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Judice is able to thwart 52% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 104 | Yuneisy Duben | Carli Judice |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +300 | -380 |
| Record | 6-0-0 (1 NC) | 3-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 1:13 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 65" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 20.55 | 11.23 |
| Striking Accuracy | 64% | 54% |
When it comes to grappling, Yuneisy Duben is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rounds. Duben is finishing her takedown attempts on 15% of the times she tries and stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Judice is getting her opponent to the mat on 25% of the takedowns she attempts and is stuffing 70% of the attempts against her. Regarding sub attempts, Duben is the more apt fighter by trying 0.8 subs per 15 minutes while Judice looks to get 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.
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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Yuneisy Duben faced Shannon Clark and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Clark landed 14 of 24 total strikes attempted in that fight. Duben ended the night having landed 27 of 41 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Clark ended up landing 14 of 24, which gave her a rate of 58%. She landed 8 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Duben landed 64% of her significant strikes by landing 25 of 39. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 22 of 36 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Clark and 84% of them connected on by Duben were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Carli Judice, she squared up with Gabriella Fernandes and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 3. Fernandes ended up landing 79% of her significant strikes at distance and Judice connected on 88% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Judice connected on 52% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 169 of 323. She ended up connecting on 110 of 251 significant strikes to the head. Fernandes ended up landing 119 of 234 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 89 of 198 to the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Fernandes ended up landing 126 of 245 and Judice landed 186 of 345 of all the strikes she threw.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Marvin Vettori faces off with Roman Dolidze. Vettori comes into this fight with a mark of 19-7-1. The 31-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Dolidze stands 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 14-3-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 76". Regarding grappling, Marvin Vettori gets a takedown 1.66 times per 3 rds while Roman Dolidze gets a takedown 1.33 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Vettori is connecting on 4.56 strikes per minute and is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Roman Dolidze, who connects on 42% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 3.16 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is set to face off with Chidi Njokuani. Njokuani comes into this fight holding a mark of 24-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Zaleski dos Santos measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 25-8-1. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 73". When it comes to takedowns, Chidi Njokuani curbs 74% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the times he tries. Zaleski dos Santos is taking his opponents down on 20% of the attempts he tries and defends against 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Njokuani takes 2.67 strikes per minute while he deals 4.59 strikes per min. Zaleski dos Santos, notwithstanding, takes 3.41 strikes per min and dishes out 4.33 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Yuneisy Duben (+300)
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