Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ryan Spann Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ryan Spann
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Waldo Cortes-Acosta will face off with Ryan Spann at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The opening line has Cortes-Acosta priced at -166 while Spann is priced at +140.
Waldo "Salsa Boy" Cortes-Acosta comes into this fight with a mark of 12-1-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Ryan "Superman" Spann stands 6'5" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 22-10-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 79". Regarding significant strikes, Waldo Cortes-Acosta lands 5.64 per minute and Ryan Spann connects on 3.30 significant strikes per minute. Cortes-Acosta lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Spann is connecting on 40%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Salsa Boy" allows 3.60 significant strikes per min while "Superman" allows 3.90. Cortes-Acosta also deflects 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Spann is able to thwart 43% of them.
| UFC Vegas 104 | Waldo Cortes-Acosta | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -166 | +140 |
| Record | 12-1-0 | 22-10-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:40 | 5:19 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'5" |
| Weight | 260 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.64 | 3.30 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 40% |
In terms of grappling, Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rounds. Cortes-Acosta is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of his attempts and is stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Spann is taking his opponents down on 35% of his takedown tries and stuffing 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Cortes-Acosta is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Spann goes for 1.7 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his last fight, Waldo Cortes-Acosta went up against Robelis Despaigne and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Despaigne ended up landing 28 of 59 total strikes attempted in that contest. Cortes-Acosta ended the night having landed 130 of 204 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Despaigne landed 26 of 52, which gave him a rate of 50%. He landed 11 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Cortes-Acosta landed 51% of his significant strikes by landing 52 of 101. Of those significant strikes, he was 44 of 92 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Despaigne and 28% of them connected on by Cortes-Acosta were done at a distance.
In the last bout for Ryan Spann, he squared up with Ovince Saint Preux and ended up getting the victory via a guillotine choke in round 1. Preux ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Spann connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Spann connected on 45% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 9 of 20. He ended up connecting on 5 of 13 significant strikes aimed at the head. Preux landed 7 of 10 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 2 of 3 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Preux connected on 7 of 10 while Spann connected on 9 of 20 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Diyar Nurgozhay squares up in the Octagon against Brendson Ribeiro. Nurgozhay looks to add a win to his record of 10-0-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Ribeiro measures 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 16-7-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old extends his reach 81". When it comes to grappling, Diyar Nurgozhay scores a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min while Brendson Ribeiro is able to score a takedown 1.27 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Nurgozhay is landing 3.52 strikes per minute and is connecting on 52% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Brendson Ribeiro, who is connecting on 42% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 3.16 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Josias Musasa is set to enter the Octagon with Carlos Vera. Vera walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-4-0. The 37-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Musasa comes in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 74". In the category of takedowns, Carlos Vera thwarts 15% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts. Musasa is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his attempts and is able to defend against 75% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Vera absorbs 2.53 strikes/minute while he is landing 0.80 strikes per min. Musasa, moreover, takes 4.53 strikes/minute and connects on 3.33 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-166)
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