Victor Henry vs Pedro Falcao Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds

Victor Henry vs Pedro Falcao

UFC Vegas 105

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Victor Henry will take on Pedro Falcao at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The opener has Henry priced at -205 while Falcao is coming in at +170.

Victor "La Mangosta" Henry steps into the cage with a mark of 24-7-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 68". Pedro "Pedrinho" Falcao stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 66". In terms of significant strikes, Victor Henry is connecting on 7.66 per min and Pedro Falcao connects on 2.90 significant strikes per min. Henry is landing 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Falcao connects on 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, "La Mangosta" takes 5.48 significant strikes per minute while "Pedrinho" allows 2.63. Henry also curbs 47% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Falcao deflects 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to grappling, Victor Henry is the not as competent as a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.84 times per 15 minutes. Henry is scoring a takedown on 36% of his attempts and thwarting 84% of all takedown attempts. Falcao is taking his opponents to the canvas on 22% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 83% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Henry is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Falcao goes for 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Victor Henry faced Charles Jourdain and ended up taking the loss by a guillotine choke in round 2. Jourdain ended up landing 50 of 87 total strikes attempted in that fight. Henry walked away from this fight having landed 39 of 75 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Jourdain ended up landing 39 of 73, giving him a percentage of 53%. He ended up landing 19 of 49 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Henry ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by sticking 24 of 54. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 8 of 30 to the head. 79% of the significant strikes connected on by Jourdain and 91% of them connected on by Henry were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Pedro Falcao, he fought Victor Hugo and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Hugo connected on 83% of his significant strikes at distance while Falcao ended up landing 85% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Falcao ended up connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 42 of 106. He connected on 27 of 83 significant strikes to the head. Hugo ended up landing 68 of 124 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 31 of 77 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Hugo connected on 84 of 148 and Falcao ended up landing 58 of 128 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Rhys McKee goes up against Daniel Frunza. McKee holds a record of 13-6-1. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Frunza stands 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 73". In terms of takedowns, Rhys McKee is averaging a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rds and Daniel Frunza takes his opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, McKee connects on 4.80 strikes per min and connects on 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Daniel Frunza, who is connecting on 44% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.94 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Dione Barbosa is set to square up in the Octagon with Diana Belbita. Belbita looks to add a win to her career total of 15-9-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Barbosa stands in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". Concerning wrestling, Diana Belbita curbs 65% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 62% of her tries. Barbosa is taking her opponents to the mat on 28% of her tries and is able to stop 42% of all takedown tries against her. With reference to striking, Belbita absorbs 6.55 strikes per min and she is dealing 6.54 per min. Barbosa, on the other hand, takes 2.49 strikes/minute and connects on 1.85 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Victor Henry (-205)

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