Vanessa Demopoulos vs Talita Alencar Pick, 04/05/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 105 Odds
Vanessa Demopoulos vs Talita Alencar
UFC Vegas 105
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, April 5, 2025
Vanessa Demopoulos will enter the Octagon against Talita Alencar at UFC Vegas 105 on Saturday, April 5, 2025. The opening moneyline has Demopoulos coming in at -108 while Alencar is priced at -112.
Vanessa "Lil Monster" Demopoulos has a record of 11-6-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 59". Talita "Problem Child" Alencar measures 5'1" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 5-1-1. The 34-year-old extends her reach 58". When talking about significant strikes, Vanessa Demopoulos is landing 3.87 per min while Talita Alencar is connecting on 2.49 significant strikes per min. Demopoulos is landing 41% of the significant strikes she tries while Alencar connects on 28%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Lil Monster" allows 5.53 significant strikes per minute while "Problem Child" takes 4.80. Demopoulos also deflects 41% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Alencar is able to stop 52% of the shots thrown in her direction.
| UFC Vegas 105 | Vanessa Demopoulos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -108 | -112 |
| Record | 11-6-0 | 5-1-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:19 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'2" | 5'1" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 59" | 58" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.87 | 2.49 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 28% |
In the grappling category, Vanessa Demopoulos is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.41 times per 3 rounds. Demopoulos is scoring a takedown on 11% of her tries and is stuffing 27% of the takedowns her opponents try. Alencar is scoring a takedown on 13% of her takedown tries and is defending 50% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Demopoulos is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Alencar looks to get 0.8 submissions per 15 min.
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In her previous bout, Vanessa Demopoulos fought Jaqueline Amorim and wound up taking the loss by an armbar in round 1. Amorim ended up landing 12 of 16 total strikes attempted in that contest. Demopoulos walked away from this fight having landed 3 of 7 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Amorim landed 2 of 3, giving her a percentage of 66%. She ended up landing 1 of 1 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Demopoulos ended up landing 33% of her significant strikes by connecting on 2 of 6. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 0 of 3 aimed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes connected on by Amorim and 100% of them landed by Demopoulos were done at distance.
In the last fight for Talita Alencar, she faced off with Stephanie Luciano and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Luciano landed 91% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Alencar connected on 87% of her significant strikes at distance. Alencar connected on 27% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 41 of 151. She ended up connecting on 20 of 100 significant strikes directed at the head. Luciano landed 72 of 175 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 49 of 139 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Luciano connected on 87 of 190 while Alencar was 45 of 159 of the strikes she threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Josh Emmett faces off against Lerone Murphy. Emmett holds a career record of 19-4-0. The 40-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Murphy stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 15-0-1. The 33-year-old has a reach of 73". In terms of takedowns, Josh Emmett is able to score a takedown 0.91 times per 3 rds and Lerone Murphy is able to score a takedown 1.78 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Emmett is connecting on 4.04 strikes per minute and is connecting on 36% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Lerone Murphy, who tags his opponent on 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.80 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Joanderson Brito is set to battle Pat Sabatini. Sabatini holds a career record of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Brito measures 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-4-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of wrestling, Pat Sabatini is able to thwart 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of his attempts. Brito is finishing his takedown tries on 68% of his tries and prevents 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Sabatini is absorbing 1.47 strikes per minute while he is landing 1.94 per min. Brito, in contrast, is absorbing 2.70 strikes/min and lands 3.02 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Vanessa Demopoulos (-108)
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