Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds

Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes

UFC Des Moines

Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Saturday, May 3, 2025

Thomas Petersen will face off with Don'Tale Mayes at UFC Des Moines on Saturday, May 3, 2025. The opening line has Petersen coming in at -258 while Mayes is at +210.

Thomas "The Train" Petersen walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Don'Tale "Lord Kong" Mayes measures in at 6'6" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-8-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 81". Regarding significant strikes, Thomas Petersen is landing 4.45 per min and Don'Tale Mayes is connecting on 3.49 significant strikes per min. Petersen is landing 60% of the significant strikes he attempts while Mayes is connecting on 43%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Train" absorbs 3.99 significant strikes per min while "Lord Kong" allows 3.77. Petersen also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Mayes curbs 46% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Thomas Petersen is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he gets a takedown 2.67 times per 15 minutes. Petersen is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of his tries and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Mayes is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 57% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Petersen is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.4 submissions per 3 rds while Mayes looks to get 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds.

Get all of our UFC Expert Picks

In his last fight, Thomas Petersen squared up with Shamil Gaziev and ended up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. Gaziev landed 14 of 32 total strikes attempted in that fight. Petersen ended the night having landed 19 of 35 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Gaziev ended up landing 14 of 32, which gave him a rate of 43%. He landed 9 of 27 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Petersen landed 55% of his significant strikes by landing 19 of 34. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 4 of 18 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Gaziev and 94% of them landed by Petersen were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Don'Tale Mayes, he went up against Valter Walker and ended up losing the fight via a heel hook in round 1. Walker landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Mayes ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Mayes connected on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 1 of 2. He ended up connecting on 1 of 2 significant strikes aimed at the head. Walker landed 1 of 3 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 2 to the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Walker connected on 5 of 9 while Mayes ended up connecting on 3 of 4 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Juliana Miller fights Ivana Petrovic. Miller comes into this fight with a mark of 4-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Petrovic stands 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 7-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 70". In the grappling category, Juliana Miller is able to score a takedown 1.84 times per 3 rds while Ivana Petrovic is able to score a takedown 2.53 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Miller connects for an average of 3.31 strikes/min and connects on 45% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Ivana Petrovic, who lands 39% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 2.00 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Gillian Robertson is set to go up against Marina Rodriguez. Rodriguez walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-5-2. The 37-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Robertson comes in at 5'5" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 15-8-0. The 29-year-old reaches 63". Concerning grappling, Marina Rodriguez curbs 62% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 50% of the times she tries. Robertson is taking her opponents to the mat on 39% of her tries and prevents 41% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Rodriguez is taking 3.04 strikes/min and she lands 4.64 per minute. Robertson, in contrast, is taking 2.95 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.89 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Thomas Petersen (-258)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

• Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrovic Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds
• Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds