Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden Pick, 01/11/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 101 Odds
Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden
UFC Vegas 101
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Thiago Moises will face off against Trey Ogden at UFC Vegas 101 on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The opening line has Moises coming in at -192 while Ogden is at +160.
Thiago Moises steps into the cage holding a mark of 18-8-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Trey "Shamurai" Ogden stands in at 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 18-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old stretches 72". In terms of significant strikes, Thiago Moises lands 2.39 per min while Trey Ogden is landing 3.07 significant strikes per minute. Moises connects on 40% of the significant strikes he tries while Ogden connects on 48%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Moises absorbs 4.14 significant strikes per minute while "Shamurai" allows 3.46. Moises also deflects 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Ogden is able to thwart 57% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 101 | Thiago Moises | Trey Ogden |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -192 | +160 |
| Record | 18-8-0 | 18-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 10:54 | 14:42 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'11" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.39 | 3.07 |
| Striking Accuracy | 40% | 48% |
When it comes to wrestling, Thiago Moises is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.47 times per 15 minutes. Moises is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of the times he tries and is stopping 55% of the takedowns his opponents try. Ogden is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his takedown attempts and is defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submissions, Moises is the more skilled technician by attempting 1.3 finishes per 15 min while Ogden goes for 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his previous bout, Thiago Moises went up against Ludovit Klein and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Klein ended up landing 86 of 153 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Moises ended the night having landed 25 of 62 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Klein landed 56 of 104, which gave him a rate of 53%. He landed 24 of 69 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Moises ended up landing 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 24 of 60. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 7 of 37 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Klein and 91% of them landed by Moises were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Trey Ogden, he went up against Loik Radzhabov and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Radzhabov ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Ogden ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Ogden ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 24 of 47. He landed 14 of 35 significant strikes aimed at the head. Radzhabov landed 42 of 86 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 38 of 78 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Radzhabov connected on 97 of 157 and Ogden ended up connecting on 116 of 148 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Preston Parsons enters the Octagon against Jacobe Smith. Parsons will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 11-5-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Smith comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 72". When it comes to grappling, Preston Parsons takes his opponents to the canvas 3.53 times per 3 rounds while Jacobe Smith gets a takedown 13.26 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Parsons lands 3.50 strikes per min and is connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Jacobe Smith, who tags the opposition on 76% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 6.95 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Joe Solecki is set to square up in the Octagon against Nurullo Aliev. Aliev comes into this fight with a mark of 9-0-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Solecki measures in at 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-5-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of grappling, Nurullo Aliev deflects 15% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 44% of his attempts. Solecki is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his tries and is able to defend against 20% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Aliev is absorbing 0.46 strikes/min while he dishes out 2.50 strikes/min. Solecki, notwithstanding, absorbs 1.77 strikes/minute and connects on 1.98 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Trey Ogden (+160)
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