Tagir Ulanbekov vs Clayton Carpenter Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/15/2025

Tagir Ulanbekov vs Clayton Carpenter

UFC 311

Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA

Saturday, January 18, 2025

Tagir Ulanbekov will enter the Octagon with Clayton Carpenter at UFC 311 on Saturday, January 18, 2025. The odds have Ulanbekov priced at -325 while Carpenter is at +260.

Tagir Ulanbekov will be looking to add a win to his career total of 15-2-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Clayton Carpenter comes in at 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 66". With respect to significant strikes, Tagir Ulanbekov is connecting on 3.22 per minute and Clayton Carpenter is connecting on 4.56 significant strikes per min. Ulanbekov lands 45% of the significant strikes he tries and Carpenter is connecting on 53%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Ulanbekov absorbs 3.30 significant strikes per min and Carpenter takes 2.71. Ulanbekov also defends against 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Carpenter stops 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Tagir Ulanbekov ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 311	Tagir Ulanbekov	Clayton Carpenter
Opening Odds	-325	+260
Record	15-2-0	8-0-0
Average Fight Time	11:19	8:28
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	70"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.22	4.56
Striking Accuracy	45%	53%

In the grappling category, Tagir Ulanbekov is the more productive wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 3.71 times per 3 rounds. Ulanbekov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of the times he tries and defending 61% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Carpenter is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of his takedown tries and thwarting 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Ulanbekov is less likely to go for the finish by trying 2.1 subs per 3 rounds while Carpenter attempts 2.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Tagir Ulanbekov fought Cody Durden and got a win for the night by rear naked choke in round 2. Durden landed 55 of 67 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Ulanbekov walked away from this fight having landed 45 of 63 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Durden landed 32 of 43, giving him a percentage of 74%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 31 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Ulanbekov landed 58% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 24 of 41. Of all the significant strikes, he was 19 of 35 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Durden and 62% of them connected on by Ulanbekov were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Clayton Carpenter, he fought Lucas Rocha and wound up taking home the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Rocha ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Carpenter ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Carpenter ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 34 of 60. He connected on 22 of 45 significant strikes directed at the head. Rocha connected on 17 of 41 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 32 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Rocha landed 21 of 45 while Carpenter landed 36 of 62 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Karol Rosa opposes Ailin Perez. Rosa walks into the cage holding a record of 18-6-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Perez measures 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career mark of 11-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 66". When it comes to grappling, Karol Rosa is able to score a takedown 1.20 times per 3 rounds and Ailin Perez takes her opponents to the canvas 5.36 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Rosa is landing 6.49 strikes per minute and lands 56% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Ailin Perez, who lands 58% of the strikes she attempts and lands 2.84 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Arman Tsarukyan is set to encounter Islam Makhachev. Makhachev will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-1-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Tsarukyan stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 22-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". Regarding wrestling, Islam Makhachev is preventing 90% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 53% of the times he tries. Tsarukyan is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 75% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Makhachev absorbs 1.54 strikes/minute while he dishes out 2.65 strikes per minute. Tsarukyan, on the contrary, takes 1.84 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tagir Ulanbekov (-325)

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Tagir Ulanbekov vs Clayton Carpenter Pick, 01/18/2025 Predictions UFC 311 Odds

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