SuYoung You vs AJ Cunningham Pick, 03/15/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 104 Odds
SuYoung You vs AJ Cunningham
UFC Vegas 104
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 15, 2025
SuYoung You will face off against AJ Cunningham at UFC Vegas 104 on Saturday, March 15, 2025. The line has You at -625 while Cunningham is coming in at +455.
SuYoung "Yoo-Jitsu" You has a record of 14-3-0 (2 NC). The 29-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". AJ "The Savage" Cunningham stands 5'10" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". Regarding significant strikes, SuYoung You is landing 2.11 per minute and AJ Cunningham connects on 7.66 significant strikes per minute. You connects on 42% of the significant strikes he tries while Cunningham connects on 29%. Regarding defense, "Yoo-Jitsu" allows 1.40 significant strikes per minute while "The Savage" allows 11.90. You also deflects 72% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Cunningham deflects 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 104 | SuYoung You | AJ Cunningham |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -625 | +455 |
Record | 14-3-0 (2 NC) | 11-4-0 |
Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 6:51 |
Height | 5'6" | 5'10" |
Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
Reach | 65" | 71" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.11 | 7.66 |
Striking Accuracy | 42% | 29% |
Concerning takedowns, SuYoung You is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents down 4.67 times per 15 min. You is finishing his takedown attempts on 58% of his tries and is stuffing 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Cunningham is taking his opponents down on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 33% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, You is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Cunningham attempts 0.7 submissions per 15 min.
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In his last fight, SuYoung You fought Baergeng Jieleyisi and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Jieleyisi ended up landing 48 of 114 total strikes that he threw in that fight. You ended the night having landed 85 of 131 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Jieleyisi ended up landing 9 of 72, which means his percentage was 12%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 63 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, You landed 48% of his significant strikes by connecting on 42 of 87. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 28 of 71 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Jieleyisi and 85% of them landed by You were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for AJ Cunningham, he went up against Ludovit Klein and wound up losing the fight by a front kick to the body in round 1. Klein landed 90% of his significant strikes at distance and Cunningham ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Cunningham landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 36 of 75. He connected on 15 of 49 significant strikes to the head. Klein connected on 60 of 91 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 38 of 66 directed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Klein was 63 of 95 and Cunningham landed 36 of 77 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Waldo Cortes-Acosta encounters Ryan Spann. Cortes-Acosta comes into this fight with a mark of 12-1-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Spann stands 6'5" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 22-10-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In terms of takedowns, Waldo Cortes-Acosta is averaging a takedown 0.55 times per 15 min while Ryan Spann takes his opponents to the mat 1.32 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Cortes-Acosta tags his opponents 5.64 strikes per minute and connects on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Ryan Spann, who lands 40% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.30 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Brendson Ribeiro is set to face off against Diyar Nurgozhay. Nurgozhay looks to add a win to his record of 10-0-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Ribeiro measures 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 16-7-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old extends his reach 81". In terms of wrestling, Diyar Nurgozhay thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 15% of the times he tries. Ribeiro is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and defends against 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Nurgozhay absorbs 2.70 strikes per min and he lands 3.52 strikes/min. Ribeiro, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.92 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.16 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AJ Cunningham (+455)
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