Su Mudaerji vs Mitch Raposo Pick, 04/12/2025 Predictions UFC 314 Odds

Su Mudaerji vs Mitch Raposo

UFC 314

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 12, 2025

Su Mudaerji will face off against Mitch Raposo at UFC 314 on Saturday, April 12, 2025. The opening odds have Mudaerji at -170 while Raposo is priced at +142.

Su "The Tibetan Eagle" Mudaerji looks to add a win to his total of 16-7-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Mitch Raposo comes in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 64". In the category of significant strikes, Su Mudaerji is landing 4.72 per minute and Mitch Raposo lands 2.29 significant strikes per minute. Mudaerji lands 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Raposo connects on 33%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Tibetan Eagle" absorbs 3.09 significant strikes per minute while Raposo allows 3.32. Mudaerji also stops 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Raposo prevents 51% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In terms of takedowns, Su Mudaerji is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.23 times per 15 minutes. Mudaerji is scoring a takedown on 25% of his attempts and defending 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Raposo is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 50% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the sub, Mudaerji is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Raposo goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Su Mudaerji squared up with Charles Johnson and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Johnson landed 84 of 177 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Mudaerji walked away from this fight having landed 78 of 149 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Johnson landed 65 of 150, giving him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 42 of 113 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Mudaerji ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by landing 75 of 144. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 41 of 96 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Johnson and 90% of them connected on by Mudaerji were done at distance.

In the last bout for Mitch Raposo, he faced off with Andre Lima and walked away with a loss by way of split decision in round 3. Lima ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Raposo landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Raposo landed 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 32 of 76. He connected on 20 of 58 significant strikes to the head. Lima landed 51 of 100 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 47 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Lima ended up connecting on 52 of 101 and Raposo connected on 32 of 76 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Tresean Gore battles Marco Tulio. Gore steps into the cage holding a mark of 6-2-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The switch fighter extends his reach 75". Tulio measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 74". In the grappling category, Tresean Gore takes his opponents to the canvas 3.46 times per 3 rounds and Marco Tulio scores a takedown 1.17 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Gore lands an average of 3.00 strikes per minute and is landing 54% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Marco Tulio, who lands 51% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 5.02 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Virna Jandiroba is set to square up with Yan Xiaonan. Xiaonan steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-4-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Jandiroba stands in at 5'3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 21-3-0. The 36-year-old extends her reach 64". Regarding wrestling, Yan Xiaonan is stopping 63% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 73% of her tries. Jandiroba is taking her opponents down on 34% of her tries and is able to defend against 73% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Xiaonan is taking 3.44 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.99 strikes per min. Jandiroba, on the other side, is taking 2.73 strikes/minute and connects on 2.12 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Su Mudaerji (-170)

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